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PTCPTC Inc.Buy Now7.0·$124.43+3.88%
Buy NowModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PTC Inc. combines a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak, a PEG ratio of 0.94, 34% return on equity, and Rule of 40 score of 55 with deeply depressed momentum signals including RSI of 18 and a confirmed death cross, creating a high-quality business available at a potentially attractive price if the technical setup resolves.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Compounder FundamentalsStable
  • Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Oversold Technical SetupStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PTC Inc. (PTC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy Now (conditional)DEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Conditional: death cross active, analysts disagree (1.8× target spread) — below strong-conviction threshold. Size accordingly.

Technology · Software - Application

Buy now at $124.43. A.R:R 2.3:1 at $124.43 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $161.33 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$37 per share to target. Chart is structurally weak: below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). BUY_NOW holds because Quality 8.3 (≥ 7.5) and Momentum 6.3 (≥ 5.0) clear the death-cross exemption, with A.R:R 2.3:1 vs. the 1.5:1 minimum providing the reward cushion. Suitability: speculative — not a conservative entry. Key risk: Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

PTC develops industrial software for PLM and CAD, serving over 30,000 customers globally across industrials, defense, electronics, automotive, and medical technology. The company earns revenue through software subscriptions — 95% of 2025 revenue was recurring — with... Read more

$124.43+29.5% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#2 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.85%
Entry $124.55(at market)Stop $115.83Target $161.33(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$179.25+44.1%20 analysts
$161.33our TP
$124.43price
$179.25mean
$230

Buy now at $124.43. A.R:R 2.3:1 at $124.43 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $161.33 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$37 per share to target. Chart is structurally weak: below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). BUY_NOW holds because Quality 8.3 (≥ 7.5) and Momentum 6.3 (≥ 5.0) clear the death-cross exemption, with A.R:R 2.3:1 vs. the 1.5:1 minimum providing the reward cushion. Suitability: speculative — not a conservative entry. Key risk: Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.98, quality 8.3/10, growth 8.9/10). Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 10/11 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=technology 8/10). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About PTC Inc.

About PTC Inc.

PTC's subscription software platform served more than 30,000 customers globally in fiscal 2025, with 95% of annual revenue classified as recurring. The company's 7,642 full-time employees develop PLM products — Windchill, Codebeamer, ServiceMax, Arena, and Servigistics — and CAD tools including Creo and Onshape, across five customer verticals: industrials, federal/aerospace and defense, electronics, automotive, and medical technology. Approximately 75% of sales are direct, with resellers covering smaller accounts.

PTC earns revenue through software subscriptions providing access to PLM and CAD suites, with Windchill addressing product data management across the product development lifecycle, Creo serving 3D parametric design, and ServiceMax handling field service management. Approximately 75% of sales are made directly by the company's sales force targeting large enterprise accounts, with the remaining 25% through third-party resellers covering smaller businesses. Growth comes primarily from existing customers expanding their PTC software footprint and multi-product adoption, alongside commercial pricing optimization and new customer wins. Competition is intense: Autodesk, Dassault Systèmes SA, and Siemens AG compete in PLM and CAD; IBM and Siemens AG compete in ALM; and Oracle, SAP, IFS AB, Microsoft, and Salesforce compete in field service and SLM. A large amount of PTC's sales are to customers in the discrete manufacturing sector, making results sensitive to manufacturing activity cycles and macroeconomic factors that affect capital spending by manufacturers.

Show full overview

PTC's PLM and CAD products compete against Autodesk, Dassault Systèmes SA, and Siemens AG — all of which hold greater brand recognition and longer-standing relationships at large enterprise accounts. The 10-K notes these competitors have more financial, technical, and marketing resources, which may limit PTC's ability to gain customer confidence or displace incumbents. The company's SaaS transition adds a further dimension: Arena and Onshape are cloud-native solutions, while Windchill+ and Creo+ are newer SaaS offerings. If competing SaaS PLM and CAD solutions from Autodesk or Dassault Systèmes attract new buyers before Windchill+ and Creo+ mature, PTC could lose market share among enterprise accounts evaluating cloud migrations.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From PTC Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.0/10
High-quality business
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.0
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn41.6%
ROE34.4%
Rev Growth21.7%
Beta0.97
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.97neutral
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$240+92.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.3
Bollinger
4.1
Support Resistance
5.5
GatesDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Technology 8/10RecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $108.50Resistance $143.99

Price Targets

$116
$125
$161
A.Upside+29.7%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2%
Max %3.9%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts25
Consensus3.8/5
Avg Target$179

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PTC stock a buy right now?

Buy now at $124.43. A.R:R 2.3:1 at $124.43 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $161.33 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$37 per share to target. Chart is structurally weak: below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). BUY_NOW holds because Quality 8.3 (≥ 7.5) and Momentum 6.3 (≥ 5.0) clear the death-cross exemption, with A.R:R 2.3:1 vs. the 1.5:1 minimum providing the reward cushion. Suitability: speculative — not a conservative entry. Key risk: Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.98, quality 8.3/10, growth 8.9/10). Target $161.33 (+29.7%), stop $115.83 (−7.4%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PTC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $161.33 (+29.5% upside). Target $161.33 (+29.7%), stop $115.83 (−7.4%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $115.83.

What are the risks of investing in PTC?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is PTC overvalued or undervalued?

PTC Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.0 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Strong Buy.

What do analysts say about PTC?

25 analysts cover PTC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $179.

What does PTC Inc. do?PTC develops industrial software for PLM and CAD, serving over 30,000 customers globally across industrials, defense,...

PTC develops industrial software for PLM and CAD, serving over 30,000 customers globally across industrials, defense, electronics, automotive, and medical technology. The company earns revenue through software subscriptions — 95% of 2025 revenue was recurring — with approximately 75% of sales direct and 25% through resellers, competing against Autodesk, Dassault Systèmes, and Siemens.

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