Skip to main content

PTC Inc. (PTC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait for pullback to $134.40. At $146.65 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $134.40 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: discrete manufacturing sector; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

PTC is a global software company serving 30,000+ industrial customers with PLM, CAD, and SaaS products including Windchill, Creo, and ServiceMax. Revenue is 95% recurring under a subscription model, with customers in industrials, automotive, aerospace, electronics, and medical... Read more

$146.65+14.0% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#4 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Entry $134.40(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $124.57Target $166.00(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1Setup A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$184.44+25.8%18 analysts
$166.00our TP
$146.65price
$184.44mean
$230

Wait for pullback to $134.40. At $146.65 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $134.40 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: discrete manufacturing sector; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 1.41, quality 9.3/10, growth 8.9/10). Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: discrete manufacturing sector
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.1
P/E (Fwd)17.0
Mkt Cap$16.9B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn41.6%
ROE34.4%
Rev Growth21.7%
Beta0.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.83bearish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerdiscrete manufacturing sector
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on sales within the discrete manufacturing sector and our business could be adversely affected if manufacturing activity does not grow'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
3.2
52w Position
3.4
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $130.89Resistance $153.98

Price Targets

$125
$134
$166
A.Upside+13.2%
A.R:R1.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PTC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $134.40. At $146.65 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $134.40 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: discrete manufacturing sector; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 1.41, quality 9.3/10, growth 8.9/10). Target $166.00 (+13.2%), stop $124.57 (−17.7%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PTC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $166.00 (+14.0% upside). Target $166.00 (+13.2%), stop $124.57 (−17.7%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $124.57.

What are the risks of investing in PTC?

Concentration risk — Customer: discrete manufacturing sector; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is PTC overvalued or undervalued?

PTC Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 17.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PTC?

25 analysts cover PTC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $184.

What does PTC Inc. do?PTC is a global software company serving 30,000+ industrial customers with PLM, CAD, and SaaS products including...

PTC is a global software company serving 30,000+ industrial customers with PLM, CAD, and SaaS products including Windchill, Creo, and ServiceMax. Revenue is 95% recurring under a subscription model, with customers in industrials, automotive, aerospace, electronics, and medical technology verticals.

Related stocks: GRND (Grindr Inc.) · DAVE (Dave Inc.) · FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) · PTRN (Pattern Group Inc. - Series A) · MNDY (monday.com Ltd.)