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PTCPTC Inc.Sell4.7·$194.97
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PTC Inc. combines a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak, a PEG ratio of 0.94, 34% return on equity, and Rule of 40 score of 55 with deeply depressed momentum signals including RSI of 18 and a confirmed death cross, creating a high-quality business available at a potentially attractive price if the technical setup resolves.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Compounder Fundamentals→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Oversold Technical Setup↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 21, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PTC Inc. (PTC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $194.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.4% away).

PTC develops industrial software for PLM and CAD, serving over 30,000 customers globally across industrials, defense, electronics, automotive, and medical technology. The company earns revenue through software subscriptions — 95% of 2025 revenue was recurring — with... Read more

$194.97-7.2% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#111 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield4.87%
Stop $193.17Analyst target $180.90(reached)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst consensus$201.00+3.1%15 analysts
$194.97price
$201.00mean
$170
$205

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $194.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About PTC Inc.

About PTC Inc.

PTC's subscription software platform served more than 30,000 customers globally in fiscal 2025, with 95% of annual revenue classified as recurring. The company's 7,642 full-time employees develop PLM products — Windchill, Codebeamer, ServiceMax, Arena, and Servigistics — and CAD tools including Creo and Onshape, across five customer verticals: industrials, federal/aerospace and defense, electronics, automotive, and medical technology. Approximately 75% of sales are direct, with resellers covering smaller accounts.

PTC earns revenue through software subscriptions providing access to PLM and CAD suites, with Windchill addressing product data management across the product development lifecycle, Creo serving 3D parametric design, and ServiceMax handling field service management. Approximately 75% of sales are made directly by the company's sales force targeting large enterprise accounts, with the remaining 25% through third-party resellers covering smaller businesses. Growth comes primarily from existing customers expanding their PTC software footprint and multi-product adoption, alongside commercial pricing optimization and new customer wins. Competition is intense: Autodesk, Dassault Systèmes SA, and Siemens AG compete in PLM and CAD; IBM and Siemens AG compete in ALM; and Oracle, SAP, IFS AB, Microsoft, and Salesforce compete in field service and SLM. A large amount of PTC's sales are to customers in the discrete manufacturing sector, making results sensitive to manufacturing activity cycles and macroeconomic factors that affect capital spending by manufacturers.

Show full overview

PTC's PLM and CAD products compete against Autodesk, Dassault Systèmes SA, and Siemens AG — all of which hold greater brand recognition and longer-standing relationships at large enterprise accounts. The 10-K notes these competitors have more financial, technical, and marketing resources, which may limit PTC's ability to gain customer confidence or displace incumbents. The company's SaaS transition adds a further dimension: Arena and Onshape are cloud-native solutions, while Windchill+ and Creo+ are newer SaaS offerings. If competing SaaS PLM and CAD solutions from Autodesk or Dassault Systèmes attract new buyers before Windchill+ and Creo+ mature, PTC could lose market share among enterprise accounts evaluating cloud migrations.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From PTC Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.4% away)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)21.9
Mkt Cap$21.2B
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn41.4%
ROE35.1%
Rev Growth-6.8%
Beta0.99
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.18bearish
IV32%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -6.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.8
Declining revenue: -7%
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $143.42Resistance $196.05

Price Targets

A.Upside-7.2%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PTC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $194.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $193.17. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PTC stock price target?

Analyst target $180.90 reached (−7.2% from $194.97); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $193.17. Stop-loss: $193.17.

What are the risks of investing in PTC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is PTC overvalued or undervalued?

PTC Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 21.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PTC?

24 analysts cover PTC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $201.

What does PTC Inc. do?PTC develops industrial software for PLM and CAD, serving over 30,000 customers globally across industrials, defense,...

PTC develops industrial software for PLM and CAD, serving over 30,000 customers globally across industrials, defense, electronics, automotive, and medical technology. The company earns revenue through software subscriptions — 95% of 2025 revenue was recurring — with approximately 75% of sales direct and 25% through resellers, competing against Autodesk, Dassault Systèmes, and Siemens.

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