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BULLWebull CorporationSell6.3·$5.53
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BULL delivers 36% revenue growth year-over-year and analysts see 75% upside to consensus, but below-floor business quality, a confirmed downtrend in the 200-day moving average slope, and an inconsistent earnings track record make this a speculative setup requiring quality improvement before the upside is accessible.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth 36pct→Stable
  • Quality Below Floor→Stable
  • Confirmed Downtrend 200day Ma↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Webull Corporation (BULL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.53 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Webull Corporation operates as a digital investment platform. The company offers various products and services, including trading, wealth management product distribution, market data and information, user community, and investor education. Its platform enables retail investors... Read more

$5.53+72.9% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#20 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $5.28Analyst target $9.56(−15% haircut)A.R:R 6.6:1
Analyst consensus$11.25+103.4%4 analysts
$9.56Analyst target
$5.53price
$11.25mean
$12

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.53 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Analyst upside: 73%
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)69.1
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE4.7%
Rev Growth51.9%
Beta0.65
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C2.85bearish
IV81%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.9
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 6.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.44Resistance $7.61

Price Targets

$5
$10
A.Upside+72.9%
A.R:R6.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BULL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.53 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.28. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BULL stock price target?

Analyst target: $9.56 (+72.9% upside). Prior stop was $5.28. Stop-loss: $5.28.

What are the risks of investing in BULL?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum.

Is BULL overvalued or undervalued?

Webull Corporation trades at a P/E of 69.1 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BULL?

10 analysts cover BULL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Webull Corporation do?Webull Corporation operates as a digital investment platform. The company offers various products and services,...

Webull Corporation operates as a digital investment platform. The company offers various products and services, including trading, wealth management product distribution, market data and information, user community, and investor education. Its platform enables retail investors to trade securities through its licensed broker dealer in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Japan, South Africa, the Netherlands, and internationally. Webull Corporation was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Saint Petersburg, Florida.

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