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Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates a digital freight platform that connects shippers with truckers to facilitate shipments across distance ranges, cargo weights, and types in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company offers... Read more

$8.35+26.2% upside
Score 6.2/10Target $10.54Reward/Risk 4.4:1

TrendMatrix rates Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) as Hold with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $8.35 with +26.2% upside to the $10.54 price target. Overall score: 6.2/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 4.4:1.

Passes 3/5 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Val8.1Qual6.6Grw6.3Mom1.8Sent7.5Ins5.0Peer6.7Tech5.8Risk7.76.2OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
+ Attractive valuation
- Negative momentum
- Below 200-day MA

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)13.5
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$8.6B
EV/EBITDA37.2
Profit Mgn35.3%
ROE11.2%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta0.23
Dividend2.17%
Analysts19
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YMM stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) as Hold with moderate confidence. Score 6.2/10.

What is the YMM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.54 (+26.2% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 4.4:1. Stop-loss: $7.86.

What are the risks of investing in YMM?

Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is YMM overvalued or undervalued?

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. trades at a P/E of 13.5 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about YMM?

19 analysts cover YMM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. do?Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates a digital freight platform that connects...

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates a digital freight platform that connects shippers with truckers to facilitate shipments across distance ranges, cargo weights, and types in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company offers freight matching services, such as freight listing and brokerage services; and online transaction services, as well as various value-added services, such as credit solutions, insurance brokerage, software solutions, electronic toll collection, and energy services. It also provides technology development and other services. Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is based in Guiyang, China.

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35 NEUTRAL
<20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $8.10Res $9.58

Price Targets

$8
$11
Upside+26.2%
Reward/Risk4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! MOMENTUM:1.8<5.0
! DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
FALLING KNIFESuitability: Moderate
✓Risk/Reward 5.2>=2.0
✓Insider activity: OK
✓No SEC red flags
✗Momentum 1.8<5.0
✗Death cross (50MA < 200MA)