Grindr Inc. (GRND) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge
Technology · Software - Application
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Leverage penalty (D/E 470.8): -1.5.
Grindr operates a global LGBTQ-focused social networking platform with 15.0M average MAUs and 1.3M average paying users in 2025, present in 190+ countries. Revenue comes from direct streams (premium subscriptions/add-ons) and indirect streams (advertising); the app is free with... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Leverage penalty (D/E 470.8): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.23, quality 8.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-11Recent Developments — Grindr Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Grindr Inc. (NYSE:GRND) Sees Large Decline in Short Interest - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Grindr (GRND) Long-Term View | Grindr Inc. posts 20% EPS miss as margin pressures weigh - Community Chart Signals - Cổng — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai negative
- NEWS Grindr (GRND) Long-Term View | Grindr Inc. posts 20% EPS miss as margin pressures weigh - Social Flow Trades - UBND thàn — UBND thành phố Hải Phòng negative
- NEWS Lobbying Update: $432,500 of GRINDR LLC lobbying was just disclosed - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS Johnson Fistel Investigates the Grindr Board for Potential - GlobeNewswire — GlobeNewswire negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierApple App Store and Google Play Store10-K Item 1A: 'We rely primarily on the Apple App Store and Google Play Store for distribution of and access to our products and services, and as the channels for processing substantially all direct consumer payments'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Leverage penalty (D/E 470.8): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.23, quality 8.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $15.83 (+32.4%), stop $11.11 (−7.7%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.83 (+32.5% upside). Target $15.83 (+32.4%), stop $11.11 (−7.7%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $11.11.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Leverage penalty (D/E 470.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Grindr Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.2 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.
11 analysts cover GRND with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $18.
What does Grindr Inc. do?Grindr operates a global LGBTQ-focused social networking platform with 15.0M average MAUs and 1.3M average paying users...
Grindr operates a global LGBTQ-focused social networking platform with 15.0M average MAUs and 1.3M average paying users in 2025, present in 190+ countries. Revenue comes from direct streams (premium subscriptions/add-ons) and indirect streams (advertising); the app is free with paid upgrades for enhanced features.