Grindr Inc. (GRND) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Temp Headwind edge
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. At $13.68, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.5): -1.5; Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store.
Grindr operates a global LGBTQ-focused mobile social networking platform with 15.0M average MAUs in 2025 across 190+ countries, up 5.2% YoY. Revenue comes from direct (subscription/premium features, 1.3M paying users) and indirect (advertising) streams. The platform relies... Read more
Sell if holding. At $13.68, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.5): -1.5; Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierApple App Store and Google Play Store10-K Item 1A: 'We rely primarily on the Apple App Store and Google Play Store for distribution of and access to our products and services, and as the channels for processing substantially all direct consumer payments'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $13.68, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.5): -1.5; Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $12.82. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.66 (+14.5% upside). Prior stop was $12.82. Stop-loss: $12.82.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Leverage penalty (D/E 8.5): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
Grindr Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.1 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover GRND with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $18.
What does Grindr Inc. do?Grindr operates a global LGBTQ-focused mobile social networking platform with 15.0M average MAUs in 2025 across 190+...
Grindr operates a global LGBTQ-focused mobile social networking platform with 15.0M average MAUs in 2025 across 190+ countries, up 5.2% YoY. Revenue comes from direct (subscription/premium features, 1.3M paying users) and indirect (advertising) streams. The platform relies almost exclusively on Apple App Store and Google Play Store for distribution and payment processing.