This software business compounds at elite rates — a Rule of 40 score of 63, 38% revenue growth, and free cash flow exceeding net income — while trading at a PEG ratio of 0.25; the near-term setup is clouded by a confirmed price downtrend and elevated short interest, but the underlying quality and roughly 3.6-to-1 risk/reward support a recovery-oriented position for aggressive-risk investors.
Thesis pillars
- Elite Software Unit Economics→Stable
- Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
- Growth At Attractive Valuation↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026
Grindr Inc. (GRND) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup · Temporary headwind edge
Technology · Software - Application
Wait for pullback to $12.31. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern, recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $12.97. Engine's entry $12.31 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Grindr operates a global social networking platform serving 15.0 million monthly active users across more than 190 countries, primarily targeting the LGBTQ community with free and subscription-based mobile app features. The platform generated revenue from 1.3 million paying... Read more
Wait for pullback to $12.31. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern, recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $12.97. Engine's entry $12.31 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 25, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.67, quality 8.9/10, growth 8.5/10). Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
About Grindr Inc.
About Grindr Inc.
Grindr's platform reached 15.0 million Average MAUs in 2025 — a 5.2% increase over 2024 — with 1.3 million Average Paying Users representing 16.9% year-over-year growth, spanning more than 190 countries and territories in 21 supported languages. Established in 2009, the company describes itself as the largest global GBTQ-focused mobile social platform. The company employs 165 people globally, including a dedicated contractor team of 29 full-time engineers in Colombia, and is headquartered in West Hollywood, California.
Grindr earns direct revenue from subscriptions and add-ons that unlock premium features — expanded profile access, advanced filters, and an AI-native tier called Edge, which began testing in 2025. Indirect revenue comes from third-party advertisers targeting the LGBTQ audience. The platform is distributed exclusively through the Apple App Store and Google Play Store, which also process substantially all direct consumer payments. In May 2025, the company launched Woodwork by Grindr, a telehealth subscription service powered by OpenLoop Health Inc., marking the first expansion beyond the core social networking product. User acquisition spend is described as negligible, with growth driven primarily by first-mover brand positioning and network scale. The 10-K identifies AI tools as reducing barriers to entry for companion and digital relationship products, which could reduce demand for traditional social networking interactions.
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Grindr's distribution is concentrated in two platforms: the Apple App Store and Google Play Store handle both app access and substantially all direct consumer payment processing. The 10-K identifies this as a material risk — if Apple or Google were to limit, prohibit, or otherwise interfere with distribution, it could materially and adversely affect business and financial condition. The 10-K also identifies data center service providers and internet transit providers as additional operational dependencies, meaning the company's revenue-generating infrastructure depends on a small set of external counterparties.
See also: Technology · Software - Application
From Grindr Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Grindr Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Is Grindr Inc (GRND) a Bargain After 4.3% Drop? GF Value Says Un - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Grindr to Acquire PurposeMed, Expanding LGBTQ+ Healthcare - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
- NEWS Grindr to Buy Telehealth Firm Freddie for $250 Million in Cash, Stock - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS Grindr to acquire PurposeMed for $250M - tradingview.com — tradingview.com positive
- NEWS Grindr to acquire PurposeMed for $250M - TradingView — TradingView positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:53:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHcounterpartyApple App Store and Google Play Store10-K Item 1A: 'We rely primarily on the Apple App Store and Google Play Store ... processing substantially all direct consumer payments.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-05Item 5.02LOWAt June 2, 2026 annual meeting, stockholders approved amended 2022 Equity Incentive Plan adding 11,600,000 shares and requiring stockholder approval for repricing of outstanding awards. No officer departures.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $12.31. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern, recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $12.97. Engine's entry $12.31 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 25, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.67, quality 8.9/10, growth 8.5/10). Target $18.10 (+39.6%), stop $11.45 (−13.3%), A.R:R 4.2:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $18.10 (+39.5% upside). Target $18.10 (+39.6%), stop $11.45 (−13.3%), A.R:R 4.2:1. Stop-loss: $11.45.
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).
Grindr Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.6 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
12 analysts cover GRND with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $21.
What does Grindr Inc. do?Grindr operates a global social networking platform serving 15.0 million monthly active users across more than 190...
Grindr operates a global social networking platform serving 15.0 million monthly active users across more than 190 countries, primarily targeting the LGBTQ community with free and subscription-based mobile app features. The platform generated revenue from 1.3 million paying subscribers and advertising in 2025, with 165 employees globally and headquarters in West Hollywood, California.