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YALAYalla Group LimitedHold6.1·$5.31-1.48%
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Yalla Group Limited (YALA) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum.

Yalla Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates a social networking and gaming platform in the Middle East and North Africa region. It offers mobile applications, including Yalla, a voice-centric group chat platform; and Yalla Ludo, a casual gaming application. The... Read more

$5.31+34.5% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#21 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $5.07Target $7.14(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$8.40+58.2%3 analysts
$7.14our TP
$5.31price
$8.40mean
$10

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 13, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.7
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$806M
EV/EBITDA0.0
Profit Mgn42.0%
ROE18.0%
Rev Growth-5.8%
Beta0.43
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV149%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.4
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.3
Capitulation risk (RSI 13, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Revenue shrinking — -5.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.1
Earnings Growth
4.2
Declining revenue: -6%
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
13 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.23Resistance $6.84

Price Targets

$5
$7
A.Upside+34.5%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum
! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YALA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 13, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $7.14 (+34.5%), stop $5.07 (−4.7%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YALA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.14 (+34.5% upside). Target $7.14 (+34.5%), stop $5.07 (−4.7%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Stop-loss: $5.07.

What are the risks of investing in YALA?

Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum.

Is YALA overvalued or undervalued?

Yalla Group Limited trades at a P/E of 6.7 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about YALA?

8 analysts cover YALA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Yalla Group Limited do?Yalla Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates a social networking and gaming platform in the Middle...

Yalla Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates a social networking and gaming platform in the Middle East and North Africa region. It offers mobile applications, including Yalla, a voice-centric group chat platform; and Yalla Ludo, a casual gaming application. The company's platform provides group chatting and games services; and consume virtual currencies to purchase virtual items, as well as provides upgrade services. It has operations in United Arab Emirates, Mainland China, Hongkong, Cayman Islands, Saudia Arabia, and Singapore countries. The company was formerly known as FYXTech Corporation. Yalla Group Limited was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates.

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