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HKDAMTD Digital Inc.Buy Wait7.0·$1.73
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AMTD Digital scores as a high-quality, deeply undervalued software business with wide margins and a Rule of 40 reading of 198, but cash conversion is a red flag, the stock is down about 69% from its high and the data set lacks earnings history.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Compounder Profile→Stable
  • Deep Value With Margin Of Safety→Stable
  • Cash Conversion Red Flag→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AMTD Digital Inc. (HKD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait for pullback to $1.67. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $1.73. Engine's entry $1.67 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions; media and entertainment services; and hotel operations, hospitality, and very important person (VIP) services in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the Americas, and Southeast Asia. The company offers cross-market... Read more

$1.73+19.2% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#2 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-35.67%
Entry $1.67(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $1.59Target $1.99(default +15%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Wait for pullback to $1.67. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $1.73. Engine's entry $1.67 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Deep value: 57% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — AMTD Digital Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T12:43:34Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.8
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$544M
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn40.2%
ROE25.4%
Rev Growth340.9%
Beta1.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
3.0
Support Resistance
4.0
GatesMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Speculative
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1.64Resistance $1.79

Price Targets

$2
$2
$2
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! RISK-OFF: Technology sector blocked for BUY_NOW (quality 7.68 < 8.5)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for HKD.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HKD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $1.67. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $1.73. Engine's entry $1.67 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Deep value: 57% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. Target $1.99 (+15.0%), stop $1.59 (−8.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HKD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1.99 (+19.2% upside). Target $1.99 (+15.0%), stop $1.59 (−8.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $1.59.

What are the risks of investing in HKD?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is HKD overvalued or undervalued?

AMTD Digital Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.8 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

0
What does AMTD Digital Inc. do?AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions; media and entertainment services; and hotel...

AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions; media and entertainment services; and hotel operations, hospitality, and very important person (VIP) services in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the Americas, and Southeast Asia. The company offers cross-market and intelligent digital solutions services for retail and corporate clients; and insurance brokerage services. It also provides fashion, arts, and luxury media advertising and marketing services; print and digital advertising campaigns and marketing services; and sells printed and digital publications, as well as operates in the movie production sector. In addition, the company offers customer-centric VIP services, such as hotels and serviced apartments, food and beverages, and club membership services. Further, it holds whole building properties. Digital Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

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