Value
9.4/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.7 |
| P/S | 8.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.9 |
| PEG | 9.6 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 6.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.56
- ▸Attractively valued
YALA · Why this verdict
Why Yalla Group (YALA) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 6.0 |
| ROA | 5.5 |
| Gross margin | 9.5 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.0 |
| Moat | 6.6 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 42%
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
- ▸High-quality business
Growth
2.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.1 |
| EPS growth | 4.2 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -6%
Momentum
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 2.2 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 2.9 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 11, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.1 |
| Price target | 9.7 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (3.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 57%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
6.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.7 |
| quality rank | 8.4 |
| growth rank | 0.1 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.7 |
| support resistance | 9.4 |
| 52w position | 1.5 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.3 |
| days to cover | 4.2 |
| volatility | 1.3 |
| put call | 6.7 |
| implied vol | 0.3 |
| max pain risk | 5.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 8.9 |
- ▸High IV: 78%
Catalyst
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 6.9 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Market cap $0.80B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:3.8>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:63d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
3.76
Upside
+33.7%
Downside
9.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 11, MACD bearish
EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND — High quality (7.7) with weak momentum (2.0)
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $0.8B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 9.4 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.4, Quality at 7.7, and Sentiment at 7.0; the weakest are Momentum at 2.0, Growth at 2.7, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.76 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.