Skip to main content
SRADSportradar Group AGSell5.9·$12.30
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sportradar is recovering from a death-cross pattern with strong analyst conviction implying 35% upside and exceptional free cash flow at 416% of net income, but 2 of the last 3 earnings were misses and high leverage at debt-to-equity of 6.9 limits financial flexibility in a still-recovering technical trend.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Fcf Conversion→Stable
  • High Analyst Conviction Upside→Stable
  • Earnings Miss Execution Concern↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.30: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, Malta, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The... Read more

$12.30+31.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#48 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield9.54%
Stop $11.44Analyst target $16.12(−10% haircut)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst consensus$17.91+45.6%22 analysts
$16.12Analyst target
$12.30price
$17.91mean
$35

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.30: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 31%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)205.0
P/E (Fwd)28.1
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE2.0%
Rev Growth18.9%
Beta1.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.88bearish
IV81%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
3.5
Support Resistance
4.0
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
48 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.39Resistance $12.90

Price Targets

$11
$16
A.Upside+31.0%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SRAD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.30: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $11.44. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SRAD stock price target?

Analyst target: $16.12 (+31.0% upside). Prior stop was $11.44. Stop-loss: $11.44.

What are the risks of investing in SRAD?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is SRAD overvalued or undervalued?

Sportradar Group AG trades at a P/E of 205.0 (forward 28.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SRAD?

30 analysts cover SRAD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Sportradar Group AG do?Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media...

Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, Malta, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers betting technology and solutions, including betting and gaming content; real-time sports data points; pre-match and live odds services; streaming and betting engagement services; iGaming, which includes virtual soccer, horse and dog racing, basketball, tennis, baseball, and cricket; managed betting and trading services; and sports betting and gaming platform. It also provides sports content, technology, and services that include marketing services; sports media services comprising data, content and solutions for broadcasters, publishers, rights-holders, and technology companies; integrity services, including monitoring, intelligence, education, consultancy, rights protection, and regulatory solutions; and sports performance solutions for competition management, official data generation, automated content distribution and performance analysis, which include video and analytics, and coaching and scouting products. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Sankt Gallen, Switzerland.

Related stocks: HKD (AMTD Digital Inc.) · DAVE (Dave Inc.) · VTEX (VTEX) · ADEA (Adeia Inc.) · FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation)
Home › Stocks › SRAD

Latest news

Latest News

Moomoo92d ago
TradingKey92d ago
Seeking Alpha190d agoLegal
GlobeNewswire190d ago
Quiver Quantitative190d ago
MarketBeat190d ago
Stocktwits190d ago
MarketBeat93d ago
TradingKey93d ago
TradingKey93d ago
StocksToTrade184d ago
Seeking Alpha184d agoEarnings
MarketBeat184d ago
GlobeNewswire184d agoLegal
Yahoo Finance Singapore184d ago
PR Newswire184d agoLegal
Yahoo Finance86d ago
Seeking Alpha86d agoEarnings
TradingKey91d ago
TradingKey91d ago
Loading more...