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Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, Malta, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The... Read more

$13.35+50.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#62 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $12.43Target $20.13(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$22.37+67.5%21 analysts
$20.13our TP
$13.35price
$22.37mean
$36

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 51%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.9): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.2
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta1.99
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.09bearish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$45+237.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Obv
9.6
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
4.3
Value Rank
4.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.66Resistance $18.62

Price Targets

$12
$20
A.Upside+50.8%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SRAD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $12.43. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the SRAD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.13 (+50.6% upside). Prior stop was $12.43. Stop-loss: $12.43.

What are the risks of investing in SRAD?

Leverage penalty (D/E 6.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is SRAD overvalued or undervalued?

Sportradar Group AG trades at a P/E of 50.2 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SRAD?

28 analysts cover SRAD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Sportradar Group AG do?Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media...

Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, Malta, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers betting technology and solutions, including betting and gaming content; real-time sports data points; pre-match and live odds services; streaming and betting engagement services; iGaming, which includes virtual soccer, horse and dog racing, basketball, tennis, baseball, and cricket; managed betting and trading services; and sports betting and gaming platform. It also provides sports content, technology, and services that include marketing services; sports media services comprising data, content and solutions for broadcasters, publishers, rights-holders, and technology companies; integrity services, including monitoring, intelligence, education, consultancy, rights protection, and regulatory solutions; and sports performance solutions for competition management, official data generation, automated content distribution and performance analysis, which include video and analytics, and coaching and scouting products. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Sankt Gallen, Switzerland.

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