Value
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 2.2 |
| P/S | 8.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.6 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 16.2x
- ▸PEG: 0.07
- ▸Attractively valued
SRAD · Why this verdict
Why Sportradar Group (SRAD) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.5 |
| ROA | 1.9 |
| Gross margin | 1.3 |
| Op margin | 3.4 |
| Net margin | 2.6 |
| Current ratio | 4.2 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 4.9 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 416% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
7.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 5.3 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.8 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 1.5 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 74)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.5 |
| Analyst rating | 9.0 |
| Price target | 9.2 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 40%
Insider
7.0/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 8.0 |
| insider conviction | 8.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider buying — $11,349,411 (0.276% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.2 |
| quality rank | 4.2 |
| growth rank | 3.4 |
Technical
1.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.0 |
| support resistance | 1.0 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
| gap | 3.0 |
- ▸Extreme gap up (5.9%) - may pull back
Risk (lower is worse)
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.8 |
| days to cover | 9.6 |
| volatility | 1.4 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 4.6 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 4.94
- ▸High IV: 95%
- ▸Above max pain $2
Catalyst
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 1.1 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.1>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.7>=1.5
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- INSIDER:0.28%=MODERATE
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.1>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
1.71
Upside
+25.7%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.63>1.3, MCap $4.1B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.0 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 8.2) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Current asymmetry R:R is 1.71 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 8.2, Growth at 7.7, and Value at 7.6; the weakest are Technical at 1.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.2, and Peer rank at 3.3. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.71 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.