Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Technology · Software - Application
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $246.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Autodesk develops 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software for architecture, manufacturing, and media industries globally, sold primarily through subscriptions. International revenue represented 64% of net revenue in fiscal 2026. TD Synnex, formerly the largest... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $246.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerTD Synnex14%10-K Item 1: 'Revenue through our largest distributor, TD Synnex Corporation...accounted for 14%...of our net revenue for the fiscal years ended January 31, 2026'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-24Item 5.02LOWDirector Stephen Milligan notified Board on April 20, 2026 that he will not stand for re-election at 2026 Annual Meeting. No reason cited for retirement; Omar Abbosh nominated as replacement. No disagreement with company.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $246.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $299.50 (+21.6%), stop $229.72 (−7.2%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $299.50 (+21.7% upside). Target $299.50 (+21.6%), stop $229.72 (−7.2%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $229.72.
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Autodesk, Inc. trades at a P/E of 45.2 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
39 analysts cover ADSK with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $326.
What does Autodesk, Inc. do?Autodesk develops 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software for architecture, manufacturing, and media...
Autodesk develops 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software for architecture, manufacturing, and media industries globally, sold primarily through subscriptions. International revenue represented 64% of net revenue in fiscal 2026. TD Synnex, formerly the largest distributor, accounted for 14% of fiscal 2026 net revenue; Autodesk considers its business no longer substantially dependent on TD Synnex.