Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup · Temp Headwind edge
Technology · Software - Application
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $221.81 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenue (64.0%); Negative momentum.
Autodesk provides subscription-based 3D design and engineering software across AECO, manufacturing, and media/entertainment verticals, selling globally through direct and indirect channels. In fiscal 2026, 64% of net revenue came from international markets; AutoCAD-based... Read more
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $221.81 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenue (64.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 27, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.85, quality 8.5/10, growth 8.6/10). Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-13Recent Developments — Autodesk, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Adobe vs. Autodesk: Which Creative Software Stock Is the Better Buy? - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Analysts Offer Insights on Technology Companies: Enphase Energy (ENPH), ASE Technology Holding Co (ASX) and Autodesk (AD — The Globe and Mail neutral
- NEWS Autodesk (ADSK) Q1 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Autodesk (ADSK) Q1 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Autodesk Inc. (ADSK): Michael Burry Likes This Stock - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicinternational revenue64%10-K Item 1A: 'International net revenue represented 64% of our net revenue for both fiscal 2026 and 2025'
- LOWCustomerTD Synnex14%10-K Item 1: 'TD Synnex Corporation...accounted for 14%, 33%, and 39% of our net revenue'
- MEDIUMProductAutoCAD-based products10-K Item 1A: 'Deriving a substantial portion of our net revenue from a small number of solutions, including our AutoCAD-based software products and collections'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-24Item 5.02LOWDirector Stephen Milligan informed the Board on April 20, 2026 of his intention not to stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Omar Abbosh nominated as replacement. No reason cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $221.81 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenue (64.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 27, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.85, quality 8.5/10, growth 8.6/10). Target $293.73 (+47.7%), stop $199.51 (−-0.3%), Setup A.R:R 8.0:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $293.73 (+55.8% upside). Target $293.73 (+47.7%), stop $199.51 (−-0.3%), Setup A.R:R 8.0:1. Stop-loss: $199.51.
Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenue (64.0%); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Autodesk, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.0 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
40 analysts cover ADSK with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $319.
What does Autodesk, Inc. do?Autodesk provides subscription-based 3D design and engineering software across AECO, manufacturing, and...
Autodesk provides subscription-based 3D design and engineering software across AECO, manufacturing, and media/entertainment verticals, selling globally through direct and indirect channels. In fiscal 2026, 64% of net revenue came from international markets; AutoCAD-based products and collections represent a substantial portion of net revenue.