Value
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 5.4 |
| P/S | 7.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.3 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 14.2x
- ▸PEG: 0.22
- ▸Attractively valued
GRND · Why this verdict
Why Grindr (GRND) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 9.9 |
| Current ratio | 4.9 |
| FCF quality | 9.2 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Rule of 40 | 9.5 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 59%
- ▸Strong margins: 20%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 127% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 38% YoY
Momentum
1.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 2.1 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.5 |
| Price target | 9.8 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (5.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 65%
Insider
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 6.9 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $531,722 (0.027% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.1 |
| quality rank | 8.5 |
| growth rank | 9.1 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.6 |
| support resistance | 8.5 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 3.3 |
| days to cover | 6.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 4.4 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸High IV: 97%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.2 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.22, quality 8.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:4.3>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:1.4<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
4.33
Upside
+43.4%
Downside
10.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish
EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND — High quality (8.9) with weak momentum (1.4)
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.9B<$5B
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the HOLD_IF_HOLDING verdict: quality 8.9 and growth 10.0 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 4.33 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Quality at 8.9, and Value at 7.6; the weakest are Momentum at 1.4, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.4, and Catalyst at 4.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 4.33 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.