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EVCMEverCommerce Inc.Sell4.6·$9.11-0.27%
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EverCommerce Inc. (EVCM) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. At $9.11, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 8.0%.

EverCommerce provides vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service SMBs across Home Services (EverPro), Health Services (EverHealth), and Wellness (EverWell) verticals. 2025 revenue from continuing operations was $588.9M from 745,000+ customers; no single customer accounts for... Read more

$9.11+8.1% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#97 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.00%
Stop $8.55Target $9.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$11.21+23.1%7 analysts
$9.76our TP
$9.11price
$11.21mean
$8
$14

Sell if holding. At $9.11, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 8.0%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.0%
Consecutive earnings misses (4)
Weak overall score: 4.6/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)70.2
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta0.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

Max Pain$3-72.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
3.9
Value Rank
4.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.4
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.81Resistance $11.57

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EVCM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $9.11, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 8.0%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $8.55. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EVCM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.76 (+8.1% upside). Prior stop was $8.55. Stop-loss: $8.55.

What are the risks of investing in EVCM?

Thin upside margin: 8.0%; Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

Is EVCM overvalued or undervalued?

EverCommerce Inc. trades at a P/E of 70.2 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EVCM?

15 analysts cover EVCM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $11.

What does EverCommerce Inc. do?EverCommerce provides vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service SMBs across Home Services (EverPro), Health...

EverCommerce provides vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service SMBs across Home Services (EverPro), Health Services (EverHealth), and Wellness (EverWell) verticals. 2025 revenue from continuing operations was $588.9M from 745,000+ customers; no single customer accounts for a material portion of revenue.

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