CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge
Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $123.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).
CF Industries is a nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer operating the world's largest ammonia production network, with facilities in the US (6 plants), Canada (2), and the UK (1). Revenue of $7.08B in 2025 came from selling ammonia, granular urea, UAN, AN, and industrial nitrogen... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $123.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSuppliernatural gas pipeline (single-source)10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our plants are reliant on only one natural gas pipeline'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $123.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $136.65 (+10.9%), stop $114.29 (−7.8%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $136.65 (+11.2% upside). Target $136.65 (+10.9%), stop $114.29 (−7.8%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $114.29.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Hold.
30 analysts cover CF with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $120.
What does CF Industries Holdings, Inc. do?CF Industries is a nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer operating the world's largest ammonia production network, with...
CF Industries is a nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer operating the world's largest ammonia production network, with facilities in the US (6 plants), Canada (2), and the UK (1). Revenue of $7.08B in 2025 came from selling ammonia, granular urea, UAN, AN, and industrial nitrogen products to cooperatives, retailers, distributors, and industrial users.