Skip to main content
CTVACorteva, Inc.Sell5.1·$11.33
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A three-quarter earnings beat streak and exceptional free-cash-flow quality underpin the fundamental case, but 7% upside to the analyst target and momentum sitting just below the required threshold leave this name in a hold posture rather than a compelling add.

Thesis pillars

  • Technical Pullback In Uptrend↓Deteriorating
  • Constrained Upside To Target↑Improving
  • Earnings Beat Discipline→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

SellValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in... Read more

$11.33+31.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#6 of 9 Agricultural Inputs
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield6.03%(5y avg 1.04%)Payout44.44%sustainable
Stop $10.90Analyst target $14.90(−13% haircut)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst consensus$17.13+51.2%13 analysts
$14.90Analyst target
$11.33price
$17.13mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Corteva, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Oct 7, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: | Departure of Directors and Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment and Resignation of Directors Appointment and Resignation of Directors In connection with the Separation, Charles V.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 63%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.0
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA15.7
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE—
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta—
Dividend6.03%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV56%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-10-07Item 5.02MEDIUM
    | Departure of Directors and Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment and Resignation of Directors Appointment and Resignation of Directors In connection with the Separation, Charles V.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.6
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Macd
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 16, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.3
Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
6.0
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
16 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.24Resistance $14.62

Price Targets

$11
$15
A.Upside+31.5%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.90. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTVA stock price target?

Analyst target: $14.90 (+31.5% upside). Prior stop was $10.90. Stop-loss: $10.90.

What are the risks of investing in CTVA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak growth.

Is CTVA overvalued or undervalued?

Corteva, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.0 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTVA?

30 analysts cover CTVA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Corteva, Inc. do?Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and...

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Related stocks: CF (CF Industries Holdings, Inc.) · UAN (CVR Partners, LP) · ICL (ICL Group Ltd.) · SMG (Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) · NTR (Nutrien Ltd.)
Home › Stocks › CTVA

Latest news

Latest News

Fiscal.ai6d agoCONCERN
TradingView92d ago
MarketBeat92d ago
MarketWatch155d ago
Thelegaladvocate.com155d ago
MarketWatch113d ago
Finance.yahoo.com93d agoEarnings
MarketBeat93d ago
MarketBeat184d ago
MarketBeat184d ago
MarketBeat184d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance156d ago
Kalkine Media114d agoMerger Acquisition
AOL.com149d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance91d agoEarnings
Finance.yahoo.com91d ago
Yahoo Finance91d ago
Quiver Quantitative91d agoEarnings
MarketBeat91d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha154d ago
Loading more...