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CTVACorteva, Inc.Sell5.4·$74.93-0.11%
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Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $74.93 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in... Read more

$74.93+7.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#6 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.13%
IncomeYield0.96%(5y avg 1.06%)Payout38.38%sustainable
Stop $72.23Target $80.74(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$89.71+19.7%21 analysts
$80.74our TP
$74.93price
$89.71mean
$100

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $74.93 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.8%
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.5
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$50.2B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn6.5%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth11.0%
Beta0.57
Dividend0.96%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV54%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Corteva, Inc. (the "Company") previously announced on October 1, 2025 its intent to separate its seed business ("SpinCo") from its remaining crop protection business ("New Corteva") into two independent, publicly traded companies through a tax-free spin-off (the "spin-off).
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 29)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
4.6
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.46Resistance $84.00

Price Targets

$72
$81
A.Upside+7.8%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $74.93 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $72.23. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.74 (+7.8% upside). Prior stop was $72.23. Stop-loss: $72.23.

What are the risks of investing in CTVA?

Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is CTVA overvalued or undervalued?

Corteva, Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.5 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What does Corteva, Inc. do?Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and...

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in Indianapolis, Indiana.

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