Skip to main content

Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in... Read more

$81.15+3.6% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#6 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
Stop $77.52Target $83.92(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$86.67+6.8%21 analysts
$83.92our TP
$81.15price
$86.67mean
$74
$96

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.3
P/E (Fwd)20.0
Mkt Cap$54.4B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE5.0%
Rev Growth-1.7%
Beta0.68
Dividend0.89%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.87neutral
IV50%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Corteva, Inc. (the "Company") previously announced on October 1, 2025 its intent to separate its seed business ("SpinCo") from its remaining crop protection business ("New Corteva") into two independent, publicly traded companies through a tax-free spin-off (the "spin-off).
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
3.8
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.36Resistance $85.63

Price Targets

$78
$84
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $77.52. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.92 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $77.52. Stop-loss: $77.52.

What are the risks of investing in CTVA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is CTVA overvalued or undervalued?

Corteva, Inc. trades at a P/E of 46.3 (forward 20.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTVA?

30 analysts cover CTVA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $87.

What does Corteva, Inc. do?Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and...

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Related stocks: CF (CF Industries Holdings, Inc.) · NTR (Nutrien Ltd.) · ICL (ICL Group Ltd.) · MOS (Mosaic Company (The))