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ICLICL Group Ltd.Sell5.5·$5.51-1.43%
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ICL Group Ltd. (ICL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.51: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Growing Solutions. The Industrial Products segment produces bromine out... Read more

$5.51+21.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#5 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.77%
IncomeYield3.41%(5y avg 5.78%)Payout85.57%at-risk
Stop $5.34Target $6.77(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$6.45+17.1%4 analysts
$6.77our TP
$5.51price
$6.45mean
$7

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.51: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10

Recent Developments — ICL Group Ltd.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.6
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$7.2B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE5.0%
Rev Growth14.5%
Beta0.95
Dividend3.41%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
1.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.8
Ma Position
2.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 21, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
1.7
Fcf Quality
1.7
Net Margin
1.8
Gross Margin
2.1
Roa
2.5
Operating Margin
4.6
Current Ratio
5.1
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 21% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
21 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.51Resistance $6.91

Price Targets

$5
$7
A.Upside+22.9%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.51: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.34. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ICL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.77 (+21.1% upside). Prior stop was $5.34. Stop-loss: $5.34.

What are the risks of investing in ICL?

Target reached (-1.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is ICL overvalued or undervalued?

ICL Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 26.6 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ICL?

8 analysts cover ICL with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $6.

What does ICL Group Ltd. do?ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. The...

ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Growing Solutions. The Industrial Products segment produces bromine out of a solution that is a by-product of the potash production process, as well as bromine-based compounds; sells various grades of potash, salt, magnesium chloride, and magnesia products; and produces and markets phosphorous-based flame retardants and other phosphorus-based products. The Potash segment produces and sells potash, salt, magnesium, electricity, and magnesium alloys; as well as chlorine and sylvinite. The Phosphate segment uses phosphate commodity products to produce specialty products; sells phosphate-based fertilizers, as well as sulphuric and green phosphoric acid, and phosphate fertilizers; and offers phosphate salts and acids. It also develops and produces functional food ingredients and phosphate additives. The Growing Solutions segment develops, manufactures, markets, and sells fertilizers based primarily on nitrogen, potash, and phosphate, including water-soluble specialty, and controlled-release fertilizers, as well as secondary nutrients, bio-stimulants, soil conditioners, seed treatment products, and adjuvants. It also offers digital platforms and technological solutions for farmers and agronomists. The company serves pharmaceutical, food, oil and gas, de-icing, building and construction, oral care, paints and coatings, energy storage, water treatment, electronics, automotive, agriculture, textiles, tire manufacturing, and healthcare industries, as well as power plants and battery producers. It sells its products through marketing companies, agents, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Israel Chemicals Ltd. and changed its name to ICL Group Ltd in May 2020. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

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