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CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc.Buy Wait6.0·$280.32-0.56%
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Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Wait for pullback to $246.18. At $280.32 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $246.18 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%).

Cboe Global Markets operates exchanges and clearing facilities across equities, derivatives, and FX in the US, Europe, and Asia Pacific. Revenue is driven primarily by transaction and clearing fees (74% of revenues less cost of revenues in 2025), with proprietary products... Read more

$280.32+16.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.40%
IncomeYield1.02%(5y avg 1.29%)Payout23.83%sustainable
Entry $246.18(Rr Min Solve Sticky)Stop $219.44Target $285.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1Setup A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$328.00+17.0%14 analysts
$285.36our TP
$280.32price
$328.00mean
$382

Wait for pullback to $246.18. At $280.32 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $246.18 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cboe Global Markets, Inc.

About Cboe Global Markets, Inc.

Cboe Global Markets generated 68% of 2025 net revenues from its Options and Futures segments—anchored by SPX options and VIX options and futures—with 74% of total net revenues attributable to transaction and clearing-based business. The company holds exclusive U.S. rights to trade S&P 500 index options through December 31, 2032, under a license with S&P Dow Jones Indices. Cboe's U.S. exchanges are SEC-registered national securities exchanges; CFE operates as a CFTC-registered futures exchange. Cboe Clear Europe provided CCP protection for an average €69 billion of cleared value daily in 2025.

Cboe earns revenue across three captions: derivatives markets (proprietary SPX and VIX products plus multi-listed options), cash and spot markets (U.S., European, Canadian, and Australian equities plus FX), and Cboe Data Vantage (market data licenses, access fees, and proprietary index licensing). For proprietary products such as SPX options, pricing uses price-time or pro-rata allocation where all participants pay fees, generating higher per-contract net revenue than multi-listed products, which face intense pricing competition through payment-for-order-flow and inverted-fee structures. Cboe Clear Europe eliminated 73% of gross exposure through netting in 2025, generating clearing fee income. In 2025 Cboe initiated wind-down of its Japanese equities business and commenced sales processes for Cboe Australia and Cboe Canada; subsequent to December 31, 2025, Cboe initiated wind-down of CEDX, its pan-European derivatives platform, redirecting capital toward core Options, Futures, U.S. Equities, and Global FX businesses.

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The most concentrated dependency in Cboe's revenue base is the exclusive license from S&P Dow Jones Indices granting sole U.S. rights to list S&P 500 index options through December 31, 2032. The 10-K discloses that if S&P declines to renew on an exclusive basis, Cboe would face multi-listing competition in what is now an exclusive product; non-renewal entirely would eliminate the right to list the product. Given that SPX options and VIX options/futures represent the bulk of the 68% options-and-futures net revenue share, the 2032 S&P renewal is a binary event for this revenue stream. CFTC and SEC regulatory changes, including equity market structure proposals affecting fee schedules, may weigh on pricing flexibility across Cboe's listed equities businesses.

See also: Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

From Cboe Global Markets, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.9 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.1
P/E (Fwd)19.2
Mkt Cap$29.5B
EV/EBITDA16.2
Profit Mgn25.8%
ROE25.1%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta0.40
Dividend1.02%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.84neutral
IV50%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductoptions and futures segments68%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 68% of our total revenues less cost of revenues were generated by the options and futures segments, the majority of which was generated by products based on exclusively licensed indices (e.g., SPX options) and products based on our proprietary VIX methodology'
  • HIGHProducttransaction and clearing-based business74%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 74% of our revenues less cost of revenues were generated by our transaction and clearing-based business. which is heavily oriented towards U.S. index and equity options.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-01Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Cboe announced additional strategic realignment actions including resource optimization, expected to be substantially completed by end of 2026. Pre-tax restructuring charges of approximately $36-46M expected, primarily for severance payments and related costs.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spot8K SERIOUS 2.05Momentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
14 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $269.96Resistance $370.40

Price Targets

$219
$246
$285
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R0.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! 8K_SERIOUS:2.05

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBOE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $246.18. At $280.32 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $246.18 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $285.36 (+1.8%), stop $219.44 (−27.7%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBOE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $285.36 (+16.4% upside). Target $285.36 (+1.8%), stop $219.44 (−27.7%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $219.44.

What are the risks of investing in CBOE?

Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CBOE overvalued or undervalued?

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.1 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CBOE?

24 analysts cover CBOE with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $328.

What does Cboe Global Markets, Inc. do?Cboe Global Markets operates exchanges and clearing facilities across equities, derivatives, and FX in the US, Europe,...

Cboe Global Markets operates exchanges and clearing facilities across equities, derivatives, and FX in the US, Europe, and Asia Pacific. Revenue is driven primarily by transaction and clearing fees (74% of revenues less cost of revenues in 2025), with proprietary products including SPX options and VIX futures being the flagship revenue drivers. The company initiated a strategic realignment in 2025, winding down non-core businesses.

Related stocks: ICE (Intercontinental Exchange Inc.) · MORN (Morningstar, Inc.) · MSCI (MSCI Inc.) · TRU (TransUnion) · SPGI (S&P Global Inc.)
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