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Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Wait for pullback to $87.11. At $92.24 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $87.11 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Overbought (RSI 77).

Nasdaq operates market infrastructure and financial technology across three segments: Capital Access Platforms (listings, data, indices), Financial Technology (regulatory compliance via AxiomSL and Calypso), and Market Services (trading and clearing). Revenue comes from listing... Read more

$92.24+10.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Entry $87.11(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $82.75Target $96.30(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1Setup A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$107.00+16.0%15 analysts
$96.30our TP
$92.24price
$107.00mean
$82
$120

Wait for pullback to $87.11. At $92.24 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $87.11 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Overbought (RSI 77). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val4.3Qual7.0Grw7.4Mom6.6Sent7.2Ins4.2Peer4.8Tech3.4Risk6.85.9OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.7%
Overbought (RSI 77)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.7
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$52.0B
EV/EBITDA19.0
Profit Mgn35.3%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth13.7%
Beta1.02
Dividend1.22%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV40%normal
Max Pain$73-20.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomercustomers concentrated in the financial industry
    10-K Item 1A: 'our Market Services businesses receive revenues from a relatively small number of customers concentrated in the financial industry'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.0
Bollinger
1.1
52w Position
8.1
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $82.18Resistance $93.05

Price Targets

$83
$87
$96
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NDAQ stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $87.11. At $92.24 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $87.11 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Overbought (RSI 77). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $96.30 (+4.4%), stop $82.75 (−11.5%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NDAQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $96.30 (+10.2% upside). Target $96.30 (+4.4%), stop $82.75 (−11.5%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $82.75.

What are the risks of investing in NDAQ?

Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Overbought (RSI 77).

Is NDAQ overvalued or undervalued?

Nasdaq, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.7 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NDAQ?

23 analysts cover NDAQ with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $107.

What does Nasdaq, Inc. do?Nasdaq operates market infrastructure and financial technology across three segments: Capital Access Platforms...

Nasdaq operates market infrastructure and financial technology across three segments: Capital Access Platforms (listings, data, indices), Financial Technology (regulatory compliance via AxiomSL and Calypso), and Market Services (trading and clearing). Revenue comes from listing fees, data subscriptions, trading/clearing fees, and SaaS compliance software sold to financial institutions globally.

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