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Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5AI GATE: FLAGGED — 1 riskModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $157.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, and data services across three segments: Exchanges (55% of revenues, including NYSE and global futures), Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. It serves financial institutions, corporations,... Read more

$157.16+13.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#6 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Stop $149.67Target $178.92(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$198.80+26.5%15 analysts
$178.92our TP
$157.16price
$198.80mean
$240

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $157.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.4
P/E (Fwd)18.1
Mkt Cap$89.5B
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn37.7%
ROE13.9%
Rev Growth20.4%
Beta
Dividend1.32%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.93bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$134-14.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $152.50Resistance $168.19

Price Targets

$150
$179
A.Upside+13.8%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! News gate: flagged (1 risks, 0 concerns)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $157.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $178.92 (+13.8%), stop $149.67 (−5.0%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ICE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $178.92 (+13.9% upside). Target $178.92 (+13.8%), stop $149.67 (−5.0%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $149.67.

What are the risks of investing in ICE?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ICE overvalued or undervalued?

Intercontinental Exchange Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.4 (forward 18.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ICE?

21 analysts cover ICE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $199.

What does Intercontinental Exchange Inc. do?Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, and data services across three segments:...

Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, and data services across three segments: Exchanges (55% of revenues, including NYSE and global futures), Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. It serves financial institutions, corporations, and governments with trading, clearing, data, and mortgage workflow technology.

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