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ICEIntercontinental Exchange Inc.Hold6.4·$141.00+1.40%
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Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, fixed income data, and mortgage technology across three segments: Exchanges (55% of 2025 net revenues), Fixed Income and Data Services (24%), and Mortgage Technology (21%). Revenue is earned via transaction... Read more

$141.00+27.3% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.76%
IncomeYield1.50%(5y avg 1.23%)Payout28.53%sustainable
Stop $132.98Target $179.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$199.53+41.5%15 analysts
$179.58our TP
$141.00price
$199.53mean
$251

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.2
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$78.6B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn37.7%
ROE13.9%
Rev Growth20.4%
Beta0.92
Dividend1.50%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$180+27.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $136.67Resistance $158.90

Price Targets

$133
$180
A.Upside+27.4%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $179.58 (+27.4%), stop $132.98 (−6.0%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

What is the ICE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $179.58 (+27.3% upside). Target $179.58 (+27.4%), stop $132.98 (−6.0%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Stop-loss: $132.98.

What are the risks of investing in ICE?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ICE overvalued or undervalued?

Intercontinental Exchange Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.2 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ICE?

21 analysts cover ICE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $200.

What does Intercontinental Exchange Inc. do?Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, fixed income data, and mortgage technology across...

Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, fixed income data, and mortgage technology across three segments: Exchanges (55% of 2025 net revenues), Fixed Income and Data Services (24%), and Mortgage Technology (21%). Revenue is earned via transaction fees, data subscriptions, and technology licensing from financial institutions and the U.S. residential mortgage market.

Related stocks: TRU (TransUnion) · SPGI (S&P Global Inc.) · MSCI (MSCI Inc.) · CBOE (Cboe Global Markets, Inc.) · CME (CME Group Inc.)
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