A software company with strong earnings growth, excellent cash conversion, and substantial analyst-implied upside is held back by a confirmed downtrend and an uneven recent earnings execution record — a fundamentally capable business in a technically broken chart.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Growth Estimates Rising↑Improving
- Strong Free Cash Conversion↑Improving
- Confirmed Price Downtrend↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 21, 2026
Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. At $115.13, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Agilysys delivers cloud-native and on-premise software solutions for the hospitality industry, serving hotels, casinos, resorts, cruise lines, and food service operations globally from its Alpharetta, Georgia headquarters. Total revenue reached $319.3 million in fiscal 2026, led... Read more
Sell if holding. At $115.13, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Agilysys, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Why Agilysys (AGYS) Is Up 10.0% After Record Q1 Results And Stronger Subscription Outlook - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Why Agilysys (AGYS) Is Up 10.0% After Record Q1 Results And Stronger Subscription Outlook - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS Analysts Offer Insights on Technology Companies: Agilysys (AGYS), Cadence Design (CDNS) and Dynatrace (DT) - The Globe a — The Globe and Mail neutral
- NEWS Analysts Offer Insights on Technology Companies: Amkor (AMKR), Paycom (PAYC) and Agilysys (AGYS) - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
- NEWS AGYS|Agilysys Inc|Price:110.580|Chg%:+7.340 - TradingKey — TradingKey positive
Generated 2026-10-29T12:43:33Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductsubscription and maintenance revenue10-K Item 1: 'Software subscription and maintenance services are a significant portion of our consolidated revenue'
- MEDIUMSupplierhardware and software suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a concentrated number of suppliers for the majority of our hardware and for certain software and related service needs.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $115.13, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $107.07. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $123.83 (+7.6% upside). Prior stop was $107.07. Stop-loss: $107.07.
Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Expensive valuation.
Agilysys, Inc. trades at a P/E of 73.3 (forward 35.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover AGYS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $142.
What does Agilysys, Inc. do?Agilysys delivers cloud-native and on-premise software solutions for the hospitality industry, serving hotels, casinos,...
Agilysys delivers cloud-native and on-premise software solutions for the hospitality industry, serving hotels, casinos, resorts, cruise lines, and food service operations globally from its Alpharetta, Georgia headquarters. Total revenue reached $319.3 million in fiscal 2026, led by subscription and maintenance at $205.9 million, with the company operating across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific.