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AGYSAgilysys, Inc.Sell5.6·$90.64-1.24%
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Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $90.64: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Agilysys delivers cloud-native and on-premise software solutions for the hospitality industry, serving hotels, casinos, resorts, cruise lines, and food service operations globally from its Alpharetta, Georgia headquarters. Total revenue reached $319.3 million in fiscal 2026, led... Read more

$90.64+22.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#54 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.92%
Stop $84.30Target $110.78(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$127.33+40.5%6 analysts
$110.78our TP
$90.64price
$127.33mean
$159

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $90.64: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 22%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.8): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)66.2
P/E (Fwd)28.4
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA56.2
Profit Mgn12.1%
ROE13.1%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta0.40
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV90%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductsubscription and maintenance revenue
    10-K Item 1: 'Software subscription and maintenance services are a significant portion of our consolidated revenue'
  • MEDIUMSupplierhardware and software suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a concentrated number of suppliers for the majority of our hardware and for certain software and related service needs.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
2.5
Bollinger
2.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.6
Growth Rank
3.6
Quality Rank
6.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.1>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $65.60Resistance $94.77

Price Targets

$84
$111
A.Upside+22.2%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts13
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$127

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGYS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $90.64: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $84.30. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGYS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.78 (+22.2% upside). Prior stop was $84.30. Stop-loss: $84.30.

What are the risks of investing in AGYS?

Leverage penalty (D/E 5.8): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is AGYS overvalued or undervalued?

Agilysys, Inc. trades at a P/E of 66.2 (forward 28.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGYS?

13 analysts cover AGYS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $127.

What does Agilysys, Inc. do?Agilysys delivers cloud-native and on-premise software solutions for the hospitality industry, serving hotels, casinos,...

Agilysys delivers cloud-native and on-premise software solutions for the hospitality industry, serving hotels, casinos, resorts, cruise lines, and food service operations globally from its Alpharetta, Georgia headquarters. Total revenue reached $319.3 million in fiscal 2026, led by subscription and maintenance at $205.9 million, with the company operating across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific.

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