Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The (SMG) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $63.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot and Lowe's (52.0%).
Scotts Miracle-Gro is the leading marketer of branded consumer lawn and garden products in North America, operating through U.S. Consumer, Hawthorne (indoor/hydroponic), and Other (Canada) segments. Revenue flows through home centers, mass merchandisers, and warehouse clubs,... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $63.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot and Lowe's (52.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The
Latest news
- NEWS ScottsMiracle-Gro Announces Timing of Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Webcast - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com neutral
- NEWS Analysts Estimate Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) Expected to Announce Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS A Look at The Scotts Miracle Gro Co (SMG) After 3.5% Decline -- GF Value $59.61 vs Price $65.38 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS SMG Hospitality SE: Delayed publication of financial statements, Luxembourg, 26 April 2026 - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerHome Depot and Lowe's52%10-K Item 1A: 'Our top two retail customers, The Home Depot and Lowe’s, together accounted for 52% of our fiscal 2025 net sales'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $63.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot and Lowe's (52.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $59.25. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $64.62 (+1.4% upside). Prior stop was $59.25. Stop-loss: $59.25.
Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot and Lowe's (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The trades at a P/E of 17.7 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover SMG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $73.
What does Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The do?Scotts Miracle-Gro is the leading marketer of branded consumer lawn and garden products in North America, operating...
Scotts Miracle-Gro is the leading marketer of branded consumer lawn and garden products in North America, operating through U.S. Consumer, Hawthorne (indoor/hydroponic), and Other (Canada) segments. Revenue flows through home centers, mass merchandisers, and warehouse clubs, with over 75% of annual North America consumer sales concentrated in Q2-Q3.