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FMC Corporation (FMC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.03: Quality below floor (1.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.68; Below-average business quality.

FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company selling crop protection chemicals (insecticides, herbicides, fungicides), biologicals, and plant health products in a single business segment with approximately 5,500 employees. It is undergoing a strategic review... Read more

$15.03+5.2% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10#8 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
Stop $14.00Target $15.83(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$17.59+17.0%17 analysts
$15.83our TP
$15.03price
$17.59mean
$13
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.03: Quality below floor (1.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.68; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (1.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.9
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-4.1%
Beta0.52
Dividend2.08%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C3.68bearish
IV77%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierChina and India
    10-K Item 1A: 'We source critical intermediates and finished products from a number of suppliers, largely outside of the U.S. and principally in China and India.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Revenue shrinking — -4.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 1.1<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.04Resistance $18.29

Price Targets

$14
$16
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.0 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.03: Quality below floor (1.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.68; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $14.00. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the FMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.83 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $14.00. Stop-loss: $14.00.

What are the risks of investing in FMC?

Quality below floor (1.0 < 4.0).

Is FMC overvalued or undervalued?

FMC Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FMC?

24 analysts cover FMC with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $18.

What does FMC Corporation do?FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company selling crop protection chemicals (insecticides, herbicides,...

FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company selling crop protection chemicals (insecticides, herbicides, fungicides), biologicals, and plant health products in a single business segment with approximately 5,500 employees. It is undergoing a strategic review including potential sale and is divesting its India commercial business in 2026.

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