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FMCFMC CorporationSell4.0·$10.83-5.79%
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FMC Corporation (FMC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.83: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 22.78; Below-average business quality.

FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company developing and marketing insecticides, herbicides, fungicides, and biological products to farmers across four geographic regions. Its two key franchises are Rynaxypyr active (~$0.8B revenue in 2025) and Cyazypyr active... Read more

$10.83+43.8% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#8 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield1.59%
IncomeYield2.78%(5y avg 4.32%)Payout223.08%at-risk
Stop $10.46Target $15.53(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$17.25+59.3%16 analysts
$15.53our TP
$10.83price
$17.25mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.83: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 22.78; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11

Recent Developments — FMC Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: China and India suppliers
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)5.2
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn-72.9%
ROE-78.4%
Rev Growth-4.1%
Beta0.37
Dividend2.78%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C22.78bearish
IV80%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierChina and India suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We source critical intermediates and finished products from a number of suppliers, largely outside of the U.S. and principally in China and India'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-29Item 5.02LOW
    Director Dirk A. Kempthorne (board member since 2009) passed away. FMC 2026 Incentive Stock Plan approved by shareholders at April 28, 2026 Annual Meeting, replacing the 2023 plan.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

6 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.6
Gross Margin
2.4
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
4.9
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.8
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -16.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Volatile — 6.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.7
Debt Equity
2.5
Days To Cover
5.0
Beta
10.0
High short interest justified: 18%Elevated put/call: 22.78High IV: 80%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
8.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Dividend Safety
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings History
5.6
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.78Resistance $14.48

Price Targets

$10
$16
A.Upside+43.4%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.83: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 22.78; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $10.46. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

What is the FMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.53 (+43.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.46. Stop-loss: $10.46.

What are the risks of investing in FMC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: China and India suppliers; Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is FMC overvalued or undervalued?

FMC Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FMC?

22 analysts cover FMC with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $17.

What does FMC Corporation do?FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company developing and marketing insecticides, herbicides,...

FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company developing and marketing insecticides, herbicides, fungicides, and biological products to farmers across four geographic regions. Its two key franchises are Rynaxypyr active (~$0.8B revenue in 2025) and Cyazypyr active (~$0.4B); the India commercial business is in divestiture with a strategic review of the entire company announced February 2026.

Related stocks: UAN (CVR Partners, LP) · ICL (ICL Group Ltd.) · SMG (Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) · MOS (Mosaic Company (The))
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