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MXLMaxLinear, IncSell5.1·$88.86+5.22%
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MaxLinear, Inc (MXL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.86: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

MaxLinear, Inc. provides communications systems-on-chip solutions in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally. Its products integrate various portions of a high-speed communication system, including radio frequency, high-performance analog, mixed-signal, digital... Read more

$88.86+17.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#28 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.30%
Stop $82.68Target $104.15(resistance)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst target$67.91-23.6%11 analysts
$104.15our TP
$88.86price
$67.91mean
$40
$125

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.86: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — MaxLinear, Inc

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-33.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)45.0
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA-206.3
Profit Mgn-26.0%
ROE-27.9%
Rev Growth43.0%
Beta4.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV142%elevated
Max Pain$8-91.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Value Rank
3.7
Growth Rank
7.5

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.1
Forward Pe
2.5
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 45.0xPEG: 0.20

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
3.9
Current Ratio
6.1
Moat
6.5
Gross Margin
7.4
Piotroski F
8.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 4%, FCF yield 0.3%)Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.77Resistance $106.28

Price Targets

$83
$104
A.Upside+17.2%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-33.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MXL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.86: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $82.68. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MXL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $104.15 (+17.2% upside). Prior stop was $82.68. Stop-loss: $82.68.

What are the risks of investing in MXL?

Target reached (-33.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is MXL overvalued or undervalued?

MaxLinear, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 45.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MXL?

15 analysts cover MXL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $68.

What does MaxLinear, Inc do?MaxLinear, Inc. provides communications systems-on-chip solutions in the United States, Asia, Europe, and...

MaxLinear, Inc. provides communications systems-on-chip solutions in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally. Its products integrate various portions of a high-speed communication system, including radio frequency, high-performance analog, mixed-signal, digital signal processing, security engines, data compression and networking layers, and power management. Its products are used in various electronic devices, such as radio transceivers and modems for 4G/5G base-station and backhaul infrastructure; optical transceivers; wi-fi and wireline routers for home networking; broadband modems compliant with data over cable service interface specifications, passive optical fiber standards, and digital subscriber line, as well as power management and interface products. It serves electronics distributors, module makers, original equipment manufacturers, and original design manufacturers through a direct sales force, third-party sales representatives, and a network of distributors. The company has a strategic collaboration with Edgecore Networks Corporation for the development network infrastructure for enterprise and SMB applications. MaxLinear, Inc. has strategic partnership with GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. to develop 5G fixed wireless access (FWA) gateways and converged gateways for consumer and enterprise applications. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.

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