Credo Technology Group Holding (CRDO) Stock Analysis
Temp Headwind edge
Technology · Semiconductors
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $173.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top customer (67% of fiscal 2025 revenue) (67.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC.
Credo Technology designs high-speed connectivity solutions—including ICs, active electrical cables, and SerDes chiplets—for hyperscale data centers and AI/ML infrastructure using proprietary SerDes and DSP technologies. Revenue was $436.8 million in fiscal 2025; one customer... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $173.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top customer (67% of fiscal 2025 revenue) (67.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomertop customer (67% of fiscal 2025 revenue)67%10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal 2025, we had one customer that accounted for 10% or more of our total revenue (such one customer accounting for 67% of total fiscal 2025 revenue)'
- HIGHSupplierTSMC10-K Item 1A: 'We currently outsource all of our IC manufacturing to TSMC, with the assembly and testing processes outsourced to other subcontractors primarily in Asia'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
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Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $173.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top customer (67% of fiscal 2025 revenue) (67.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $188.36 (+8.8%), stop $161.09 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $188.36 (+8.7% upside). Target $188.36 (+8.8%), stop $161.09 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $161.09.
Concentration risk — Customer: top customer (67% of fiscal 2025 revenue) (67.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC; Thin upside margin: 8.7%.
Credo Technology Group Holding trades at a P/E of 95.1 (forward 31.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
24 analysts cover CRDO with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $209.
What does Credo Technology Group Holding do?Credo Technology designs high-speed connectivity solutions—including ICs, active electrical cables, and SerDes...
Credo Technology designs high-speed connectivity solutions—including ICs, active electrical cables, and SerDes chiplets—for hyperscale data centers and AI/ML infrastructure using proprietary SerDes and DSP technologies. Revenue was $436.8 million in fiscal 2025; one customer accounted for 67% of that revenue, with the top-10 customers representing ~90%.