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Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. (ALGM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.52 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: automotive OEM customers (73.8%).

Allegro MicroSystems designs and markets sensor ICs (magnetic sensors for motion, speed, position, current) and power ICs for automotive and industrial markets, shipping ~1.5 billion units annually to more than 10,000 customers worldwide. Automotive customers supplying OEMs... Read more

$47.52+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#16 of 45 Semiconductors
Stop $44.20Target $47.63(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$46.75-1.6%12 analysts
$47.63our TP
$47.52price
$46.75mean
$44
$52

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.52 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: automotive OEM customers (73.8%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: automotive OEM customers (73.8%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)50.2
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA126.8
Profit Mgn-1.6%
ROE-1.4%
Rev Growth28.9%
Beta1.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.43bearish
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$13-73.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerautomotive OEM customers74%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our customers that supply various systems and components to automotive OEMs accounted for 73.8%, 72.4%, and 66.4% of our total net sales...'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
4.5
Growth Rank
6.7
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.28Resistance $48.60

Price Targets

$44
$48
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALGM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.52 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: automotive OEM customers (73.8%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $44.20. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALGM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.63 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $44.20. Stop-loss: $44.20.

What are the risks of investing in ALGM?

Concentration risk — Customer: automotive OEM customers (73.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

Is ALGM overvalued or undervalued?

Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 50.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALGM?

19 analysts cover ALGM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $47.

What does Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. do?Allegro MicroSystems designs and markets sensor ICs (magnetic sensors for motion, speed, position, current) and power...

Allegro MicroSystems designs and markets sensor ICs (magnetic sensors for motion, speed, position, current) and power ICs for automotive and industrial markets, shipping ~1.5 billion units annually to more than 10,000 customers worldwide. Automotive customers supplying OEMs accounted for 73.8% of FY2025 net sales, with primary internal assembly at the Philippines AMPI facility.

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