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CRUSCirrus Logic, Inc.Buy Wait6.8·$113.08
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The company has beaten consensus earnings estimates in all four reported quarters with an average upside surprise near 22%, backed by free cash flow conversion of 122% of net income, but shares sit just 6.6% below near-term resistance with a reward-to-risk ratio below 1.0 — meaning the potential downside outweighs the potential upside at today's price.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Customer Concentration Risk↑Improving
  • Free Cash Flow Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 21, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cirrus Logic, Inc. (CRUS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $108.80. At $113.08 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $108.80 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (91.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (96.0%).

Cirrus Logic develops low-power, high-precision mixed-signal semiconductors — Audio products (amplifiers, codecs, DSPs) and HPMS products (camera controllers, haptics, battery ICs) — almost entirely for smartphones. Apple Inc. accounted for approximately 91% of the company's net... Read more

$113.08+6.5% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#7 of 53 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.96%
Entry $108.80(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $102.20Target $120.42(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst consensus$141.67+25.3%3 analysts
$120.42our TP
$113.08price
$141.67mean
$95
$170

Wait for pullback to $108.80. At $113.08 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $108.80 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (91.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (96.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Value play: 45% MoS with quality 7.8. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cirrus Logic, Inc.

About Cirrus Logic, Inc.

Apple Inc. represented approximately 91% of Cirrus Logic's total net sales for the twelve months ended March 28, 2026, rising from 89% in fiscal 2025 and 87% in fiscal 2024, while the ten largest end customers collectively accounted for 96% of net sales. Cirrus Logic had 1,668 employees at March 28, 2026, with 71% engaged in research and product development. The company operates as a fabless semiconductor supplier with primary wafer fabrication from GlobalFoundries and TSMC.

Cirrus Logic earns revenue through direct and indirect sales of Audio products and HPMS products — both lines targeting smartphone applications, with design wins dependent on deep engineering relationships at the customer's product-team level. The company contracts wafer fabrication to third parties, primarily GlobalFoundries (under a Capacity Reservation and Wafer Supply Commitment Agreement through calendar year 2026, amended in February 2025 to define remaining quarterly wafer quantities) and TSMC; assembly and test is performed by Advanced Semiconductor Engineering, Amkor Technology, and STATS ChipPAC, among others. The 10-K discloses that the company does not typically manufacture the majority of individual products at more than one foundry, making transfer to a backup supplier costly and time-consuming. Named competitors include Analog Devices, QUALCOMM, Realtek Semiconductor, Skyworks Solutions, and Texas Instruments.

Show full overview

The 91% Apple concentration is the defining structural feature of Cirrus Logic's revenue base: Apple may stop incorporating Cirrus Logic products with limited notice and no significant penalty, minimum purchase volumes are not contractually required, and Apple retains in-house capability to develop competing semiconductor components. The 10-K also discloses that many products are architecturally specific to Apple's system design and frequently cannot be sold to other customers, concentrating customer and product-level risk simultaneously. The GlobalFoundries capacity agreement expires at end of calendar 2026, with post-2026 wafer supply terms subject to renegotiation.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Cirrus Logic, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (91.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (96.0%)
Thin upside margin: 6.5%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn21.0%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth12.9%
Beta1.17
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$90-20.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerApple Inc.91%
    10-K Item 1A: 'one end customer, Apple Inc., who purchased through multiple contract manufacturers and represented approximately 91 percent...of the Company's total net sales'
  • HIGHCustomertop ten end customers96%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our ten largest end customers represented approximately 96 percent, 96 percent and 95 percent of our net sales, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02LOW
    Effective March 25, 2026, CFO Jeff Woolard assumed the additional role of Principal Accounting Officer. Ulf Habermann ceased as PAO but continues in a senior finance role. No disagreement with the Company on any matter cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $105.10Resistance $123.00

Price Targets

$102
$109
$120
A.Upside+6.5%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! RISK-OFF: Technology sector blocked for BUY_NOW (quality 7.844444444444444 < 8.5)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRUS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $108.80. At $113.08 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $108.80 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (91.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (96.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Value play: 45% MoS with quality 7.8. Target $120.42 (+6.5%), stop $102.20 (−10.6%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRUS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $120.42 (+6.5% upside). Target $120.42 (+6.5%), stop $102.20 (−10.6%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $102.20.

What are the risks of investing in CRUS?

Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (91.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (96.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.5%.

Is CRUS overvalued or undervalued?

Cirrus Logic, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CRUS?

12 analysts cover CRUS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $142.

What does Cirrus Logic, Inc. do?Cirrus Logic develops low-power, high-precision mixed-signal semiconductors — Audio products (amplifiers, codecs, DSPs)...

Cirrus Logic develops low-power, high-precision mixed-signal semiconductors — Audio products (amplifiers, codecs, DSPs) and HPMS products (camera controllers, haptics, battery ICs) — almost entirely for smartphones. Apple Inc. accounted for approximately 91% of the company's net sales in fiscal year 2026; Cirrus Logic is headquartered in Austin, Texas and had 1,668 employees as of March 28, 2026.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · ALGM (Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · RMBS (Rambus, Inc.) · MCHP (Microchip Technology Incorporat)
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