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HDLSUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING Buy Wait6.3·$14.10-0.98%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Super Hi International screens cheap and cash-generative even after a sharp technical breakdown, but a confirmed downtrend and back-to-back earnings misses argue for waiting on a repair rather than chasing the favorable headline risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Post Selloff ValuationStable
  • Strong Cash ConversionStable
  • Confirmed Technical BreakdownStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING (HDL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Earnings in 3 days (2026-08-26). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $13.77. At $14.10 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.77 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery business in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. It owns and operates Haidilao restaurants. The company also offers food delivery services;... Read more

$14.10+8.9% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#4 of 32 Restaurants
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.55%
Entry $13.77(1 ATR pullback)Stop $13.31Target $15.24(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$17.93+27.2%3 analysts
$15.24our TP
$14.10price
$17.93mean
$21

Wait for pullback to $13.77. At $14.10 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.77 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.9%
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.0
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$824M
EV/EBITDA5.7
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth14.2%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.7
Bollinger
2.3
52w Position
3.2
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.80Resistance $14.24

Price Targets

$13
$14
$15
A.Upside+8.9%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:3d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HDL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $13.77. At $14.10 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.77 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $15.24 (+8.1%), stop $13.31 (−5.9%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HDL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.24 (+8.9% upside). Target $15.24 (+8.1%), stop $13.31 (−5.9%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $13.31.

What are the risks of investing in HDL?

Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is HDL overvalued or undervalued?

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING trades at a P/E of 28.0 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about HDL?

12 analysts cover HDL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $18.

What does SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING do?Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery...

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery business in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. It owns and operates Haidilao restaurants. The company also offers food delivery services; and sells hot pot condiment products and food under the Haidilao brand and secondary brands to local guests and retailers. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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