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KRUSKura Sushi USA, Inc.Sell6.1·$53.32+0.79%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Kura Sushi shows strong 23% YoY growth and an attractive PEG, but a sub-floor quality score, cash burn, and a failed asymmetry gate mean the setup depends on a fragile technical recovery holding into imminent earnings.

Thesis pillars

  • Sustained Revenue GrowthStable
  • Structural Cash Burn RiskStable
  • Attractive Peg ValuationStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Earnings in 0 days (2026-07-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.32: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Kura Sushi USA operates 82 technology-enabled Japanese restaurants across 22 U.S. states and Washington, D.C., serving revolving conveyor-belt sushi and other Japanese cuisine under a license from its Japan-based parent and majority stockholder, Kura Sushi, Inc. (Kura Japan),... Read more

$53.32+22.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#7 of 32 Restaurants
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-5.34%
Stop $49.59Target $65.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$75.30+41.2%10 analysts
$65.51our TP
$53.32price
$75.30mean
$95

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.32: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Kura Sushi USA, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-08T22:03:54Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 7, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)217.8
Mkt Cap$682M
EV/EBITDA64.9
Profit Mgn-0.6%
ROE-0.9%
Rev Growth23.3%
Beta1.33
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.4
Cash-burning: FCF -12% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)ANALYST DOWNGRADE SOFT(2)Momentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $43.23Resistance $60.40

Price Targets

$50
$66
A.Upside+22.9%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-07 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRUS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.32: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $49.59. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KRUS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.51 (+22.9% upside). Prior stop was $49.59. Stop-loss: $49.59.

What are the risks of investing in KRUS?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is KRUS overvalued or undervalued?

Kura Sushi USA, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 217.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KRUS?

18 analysts cover KRUS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $75.

What does Kura Sushi USA, Inc. do?Kura Sushi USA operates 82 technology-enabled Japanese restaurants across 22 U.S. states and Washington, D.C., serving...

Kura Sushi USA operates 82 technology-enabled Japanese restaurants across 22 U.S. states and Washington, D.C., serving revolving conveyor-belt sushi and other Japanese cuisine under a license from its Japan-based parent and majority stockholder, Kura Sushi, Inc. (Kura Japan), which holds 67% combined voting power. The company sourced 58% of its fiscal 2025 food and beverage costs from a single distributor, JFC International, and another 32% from Mutual Trading Co.

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