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WINGWingstop Inc.Sell5.2·$143.45+0.86%
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Wingstop Inc. (WING) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $143.45: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.37; Below long-term trend.

Wingstop is the largest fast-casual chicken wing restaurant chain with 3,050+ locations worldwide, of which approximately 98% are franchised. Revenue comes from royalties (6% of gross sales) and advertising fees (5.5% of gross sales) from franchisees, plus company-owned... Read more

$143.45+48.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#11 of 20 Restaurants
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.24%
IncomeYield0.84%(5y avg 0.42%)Payout28.89%sustainable
Stop $133.41Target $212.91(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$236.57+64.9%28 analysts
$212.91our TP
$143.45price
$236.57mean
$305

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $143.45: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.37; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: one distributor for all food and packaging
Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.4
P/E (Fwd)25.7
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA22.5
Profit Mgn15.8%
ROE
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta1.80
Dividend0.84%
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.37bearish
IV78%elevated
Max Pain$540+276.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierone distributor for all food and packaging
    10-K Item 1A: 'all food items and packaging goods for Wingstop restaurants are currently sourced through one distributor with 23 geographically diverse distribution centers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.3

Volatile — 6.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.3
Short Interest
0.4
Beta
4.0
Max Pain Risk
7.0
Days To Cover
7.4
High short interest: 19%Elevated put/call: 2.37High IV: 78%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
4.0
Support Resistance
4.1
Gap
6.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $116.06Resistance $162.38

Price Targets

$133
$213
A.Upside+48.4%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WING stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $143.45: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.37; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $133.41. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WING stock price target?

Take-profit target: $212.91 (+48.4% upside). Prior stop was $133.41. Stop-loss: $133.41.

What are the risks of investing in WING?

Concentration risk — Supplier: one distributor for all food and packaging; Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0).

Is WING overvalued or undervalued?

Wingstop Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.4 (forward 25.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WING?

37 analysts cover WING with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $237.

What does Wingstop Inc. do?Wingstop is the largest fast-casual chicken wing restaurant chain with 3,050+ locations worldwide, of which...

Wingstop is the largest fast-casual chicken wing restaurant chain with 3,050+ locations worldwide, of which approximately 98% are franchised. Revenue comes from royalties (6% of gross sales) and advertising fees (5.5% of gross sales) from franchisees, plus company-owned restaurant operations. Domestic average unit volume was ~$2.0 million in fiscal 2025; digital sales exceed 60% of system sales.

Related stocks: ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.) · CHA (Chagee Holdings Limited) · QSR (Restaurant Brands International) · YUMC (Yum China Holdings, Inc.) · CAVA (CAVA Group, Inc.)
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