Skip to main content
CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc.Hold5.6·$299.26+1.48%
Open full analysis

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $299.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Cboe Global Markets operates the largest U.S. options exchange and four additional segments—North American Equities, Futures, Global FX, and Europe and Asia Pacific—covering derivatives, equities, FX, and clearing globally. Transaction and clearing fees drove 74% of 2025 net... Read more

$299.26+21.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#8 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.25%
IncomeYield0.98%(5y avg 1.29%)Payout23.83%sustainable
Stop $278.41Target $362.99(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$326.93+9.2%14 analysts
$362.99our TP
$299.26price
$326.93mean
$273
$382

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $299.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cboe Global Markets, Inc.

About Cboe Global Markets, Inc.

Cboe Global Markets generated 68% of 2025 net revenues from its Options and Futures segments—anchored by SPX options and VIX options and futures—with 74% of total net revenues attributable to transaction and clearing-based business. The company holds exclusive U.S. rights to trade S&P 500 index options through December 31, 2032, under a license with S&P Dow Jones Indices. Cboe's U.S. exchanges are SEC-registered national securities exchanges; CFE operates as a CFTC-registered futures exchange. Cboe Clear Europe provided CCP protection for an average €69 billion of cleared value daily in 2025.

Cboe earns revenue across three captions: derivatives markets (proprietary SPX and VIX products plus multi-listed options), cash and spot markets (U.S., European, Canadian, and Australian equities plus FX), and Cboe Data Vantage (market data licenses, access fees, and proprietary index licensing). For proprietary products such as SPX options, pricing uses price-time or pro-rata allocation where all participants pay fees, generating higher per-contract net revenue than multi-listed products, which face intense pricing competition through payment-for-order-flow and inverted-fee structures. Cboe Clear Europe eliminated 73% of gross exposure through netting in 2025, generating clearing fee income. In 2025 Cboe initiated wind-down of its Japanese equities business and commenced sales processes for Cboe Australia and Cboe Canada; subsequent to December 31, 2025, Cboe initiated wind-down of CEDX, its pan-European derivatives platform, redirecting capital toward core Options, Futures, U.S. Equities, and Global FX businesses.

Show full overview

The most concentrated dependency in Cboe's revenue base is the exclusive license from S&P Dow Jones Indices granting sole U.S. rights to list S&P 500 index options through December 31, 2032. The 10-K discloses that if S&P declines to renew on an exclusive basis, Cboe would face multi-listing competition in what is now an exclusive product; non-renewal entirely would eliminate the right to list the product. Given that SPX options and VIX options/futures represent the bulk of the 68% options-and-futures net revenue share, the 2032 S&P renewal is a binary event for this revenue stream. CFTC and SEC regulatory changes, including equity market structure proposals affecting fee schedules, may weigh on pricing flexibility across Cboe's listed equities businesses.

See also: Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

From Cboe Global Markets, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.2
P/E (Fwd)20.0
Mkt Cap$30.9B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn25.8%
ROE25.1%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta0.40
Dividend0.98%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.84neutral
IV44%normal
Max Pain$150-49.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductoptions and futures segments68%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 68% of our total revenues less cost of revenues were generated by the options and futures segments, the majority of which was generated by products based on exclusively licensed indices'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-01Item 2.02LOW
    Cboe reported financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. Press release attached as Exhibit 99.1.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Cboe announced additional strategic realignment actions expected to be substantially completed by end of 2026, with pre-tax restructuring charges of approximately $36 million to $46 million, primarily severance. Follows comprehensive strategic review conducted in Q4 2025.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 28)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVE8K SERIOUS 2.05Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $269.96Resistance $370.40

Price Targets

$278
$363
A.Upside+21.3%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.0% upside)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBOE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $299.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $362.99 (+21.3%), stop $278.41 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBOE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $362.99 (+21.3% upside). Target $362.99 (+21.3%), stop $278.41 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $278.41.

What are the risks of investing in CBOE?

Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is CBOE overvalued or undervalued?

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.2 (forward 20.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CBOE?

24 analysts cover CBOE with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $327.

What does Cboe Global Markets, Inc. do?Cboe Global Markets operates the largest U.S. options exchange and four additional segments—North American Equities,...

Cboe Global Markets operates the largest U.S. options exchange and four additional segments—North American Equities, Futures, Global FX, and Europe and Asia Pacific—covering derivatives, equities, FX, and clearing globally. Transaction and clearing fees drove 74% of 2025 net revenues, anchored by proprietary SPX options and VIX options/futures. Cboe holds exclusive S&P 500 index options trading rights through December 31, 2032.

Related stocks: ICE (Intercontinental Exchange Inc.) · MORN (Morningstar, Inc.) · TRU (TransUnion) · MSCI (MSCI Inc.) · NDAQ (Nasdaq, Inc.)
Home Stocks CBOE

Latest news

Latest News

MSN47d ago
Traders Magazine48d agoProduct
Securities Finance Times19d agoLeadership Change
MSN19d ago
Bloomberg54d agoMerger Acquisition
Investing.com55d agoMerger Acquisition
Scott Coop55d agoMerger Acquisition
Morningstar55d agoMerger Acquisition
MSN26d agoRestructuring
Investing.com26d ago
PR Newswire27d ago
Yahoo Finance61d ago
TipRanks62d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus62d ago
Moomoo62d ago
AD HOC NEWS62d ago
MarketWatch5d ago
Insider Monkey5d ago
GuruFocus6d ago
The Globe and Mail68d agoAnalyst
Loading more...