Western Union trades at an extremely low forward price-to-earnings of 3.9x with a return on equity of 48%, but is in confirmed free-fall with RSI at 24 and a death cross pattern, 19% short interest, consecutive earnings misses, and a debt-to-equity ratio generating a 1.5-point leverage penalty — making this a structurally distressed value situation with high execution risk.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Vs Declining Business↑Improving
- Confirmed Price Downtrend↓Deteriorating
- High Short Interest Leverage Risk↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Western Union Company (The) (WU) Stock Analysis
Financial Services · Credit Services
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $7.40 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5.
Western Union provides cross-border money movement and payment services globally through two segments: Consumer Money Transfer (87% of 2025 revenue) and Consumer Services (13%). Revenue comes from transaction fees and foreign exchange spreads charged to consumers, processed... Read more
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $7.40 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
About Western Union Company (The)
About Western Union Company (The)
Western Union's Consumer Money Transfer segment generated 87% of total consolidated revenues in 2025, operating across more than 200 countries and territories through approximately 360,000 active agent locations as of December 31, 2025. Consumer Services — bill payment, money orders, and travel money — contributed 13%. The company operates under the Bank Secrecy Act and equivalent anti-money laundering regimes in jurisdictions worldwide.
Western Union earns revenue through per-transaction fees and foreign exchange spreads between wholesale rates and consumer-facing prices, with amounts varying by channel, corridor, and funding method. Agents on both the send and receive sides receive commissions; in digital transactions, the company bears chargeback risk and pays card processors in addition to receive-side commissions. The top 40 agents and partners — each in the network for more than 20 years on average — generated approximately 50% of Consumer Money Transfer revenue in 2025, though no individual agent exceeded 10% of segment revenue. In August 2025, the company signed an agreement to acquire Intermex, focused on U.S.-to-Latin America corridors, for approximately $500 million, subject to regulatory approvals expected in the second quarter of 2026. Western Union also announced a 'Beyond' strategy in November 2025, encompassing digital wallets, consumer financial services, and a U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin called USDPT, which the company plans to issue on the Solana blockchain by Anchorage Digital Bank, N.A. in the first half of 2026.
Show full overview
Western Union's regulatory compliance structure reflects the cost of operating across more than 200 countries. The company is subject to OFAC economic sanctions, providing limited transfer services to authorized parties in regions of Ukraine and other sanctioned corridors only under specific OFAC licenses or advisory opinions. Consent orders and settlement agreements impose additional compliance obligations on agent monitoring and anti-money laundering programs, with the 10-K noting these changes 'have had, and may continue to have, adverse effects' on the business. A considerable portion of revenue is denominated in euros, exposing translated U.S. dollar results to currency moves that hedging only partially offsets.
See also: Financial Services · Credit Services
From Western Union Company (The)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-30Recent Developments — Western Union Company (The)
Latest news
- NEWS Western Union (WU) To Report Earnings Tomorrow: Here Is What To Expect - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Western Union (WU) To Report Earnings Tomorrow: Here Is What To Expect - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Western Union (WU) To Report Earnings Tomorrow: Here Is What To Expect - The Chronicle-Journal — The Chronicle-Journal neutral
- NEWS Cantor Fitzgerald Maintains The Western Union(WU.US) With Sell Rating, Cuts Target Price to $8 - Moomoo — Moomoo negative
- NEWS Cantor cuts Western Union stock price target on demand concerns By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria — Investing.com Nigeria negative
Generated 2026-07-31T01:33:40Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -0.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $7.40 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $8.77 (+25.5%), stop $6.71 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $8.77 (-4.6% upside). Target $8.77 (+25.5%), stop $6.71 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $6.71.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5.
Western Union Company (The) trades at a P/E of 6.1 (forward 4.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
26 analysts cover WU with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $8.
What does Western Union Company (The) do?Western Union provides cross-border money movement and payment services globally through two segments: Consumer Money...
Western Union provides cross-border money movement and payment services globally through two segments: Consumer Money Transfer (87% of 2025 revenue) and Consumer Services (13%). Revenue comes from transaction fees and foreign exchange spreads charged to consumers, processed through approximately 360,000 active agent locations in over 200 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025.