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SEZLSezzle Inc.Hold6.5·$133.24+3.43%
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Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $133.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: WebBank; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Sezzle is a BNPL payments company offering pay-in-four, pay-in-full, and other installment products in the U.S. and Canada through approximately 201 employees, with WebBank as its originating bank partner for substantially all credit products. Revenue is earned from merchant... Read more

$133.24+22.0% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#3 of 29 Credit Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.63%
Entry $109.38(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $101.72Target $133.47(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1Setup A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$120.33-9.7%6 analysts
$133.47our TP
$133.24price
$120.33mean
$108
$141

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $133.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: WebBank; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $132.70 has reached target $133.47. No upside to wait for. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: WebBank
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)20.3
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA15.7
Profit Mgn30.8%
ROE92.0%
Rev Growth29.2%
Beta6.97
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.84bearish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$165+23.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyWebBank
    10-K Item 1: 'A substantial majority of the short-term credit products available on the Sezzle Platform are originated by our originating bank partner, WebBank'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Director Karen Webster resigned April 3, 2026 citing a growing difference in perspective with management on company direction, key decisions, and governance. Bryan Hunt appointed to Board April 9, 2026 to fill the vacancy.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-20Item 4.01HIGH
    Baker Tilly US, LLP dismissed as independent auditor effective March 16, 2026. No disagreements on accounting principles or practices. Baker Tilly's FY2025 audit report noted a material weakness in internal control over financial reporting.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-25Item 4.02HIGH
    Company disclosed non-reliance on FY2024 financial statements due to misclassification of note receivable purchases and repayments in the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows as operating rather than investing activities. Restatement required for FY2024.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
0.8
52w Position
4.2
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVESEC critical: Momentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $94.03Resistance $136.19

Price Targets

$102
$109
$133
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-1.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-21.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SEZL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $133.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: WebBank; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $132.70 has reached target $133.47. No upside to wait for. Target $133.47 (+0.2%), stop $101.72 (−31.0%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SEZL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $133.47 (+22.0% upside). Target $133.47 (+0.2%), stop $101.72 (−31.0%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $101.72.

What are the risks of investing in SEZL?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: WebBank; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors.

Is SEZL overvalued or undervalued?

Sezzle Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 20.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SEZL?

12 analysts cover SEZL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Sezzle Inc. do?Sezzle is a BNPL payments company offering pay-in-four, pay-in-full, and other installment products in the U.S. and...

Sezzle is a BNPL payments company offering pay-in-four, pay-in-full, and other installment products in the U.S. and Canada through approximately 201 employees, with WebBank as its originating bank partner for substantially all credit products. Revenue is earned from merchant processing fees (29% of 2025 total), consumer subscription revenue (22%), and consumer fees.

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