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CACCCredit Acceptance CorporationBuy Wait6.4·$556.34-2.28%
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Credit Acceptance Corporation (CACC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Wait for pullback to $529.95. BUY gates pass at $556.34, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (3.9% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $529.95 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Credit Acceptance Corporation provides auto financing programs through a nationwide network of ~60,000 dealers, enabling vehicle sales to consumers regardless of credit history; 79.5% of 2025 loan volume involved borrowers with FICO below 650 or no score. Finance charges —... Read more

$556.34+7.3% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#5 of 29 Credit Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Entry $529.95(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $490.72Target $568.19(resistance)A.R:R -2.6:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$536.67-3.5%3 analysts
$568.19our TP
$556.34price
$536.67mean
$500
$568

Wait for pullback to $529.95. BUY gates pass at $556.34, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (3.9% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $529.95 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-18.1% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Credit Acceptance Corporation

About Credit Acceptance Corporation

Credit Acceptance Corporation sourced $3.9 billion in Consumer Loan Assignments from 15,745 active dealers during 2025, with 79.5% of that volume involving borrowers with FICO scores below 650 or no FICO score. The company operates in a single reportable segment in the United States, generating 92.4% of total revenue from finance charges — primarily interest income on consumer loans — with vehicle service contract reinsurance premiums accounting for another 4.1%.

Credit Acceptance earns revenue through two programs. Under the Portfolio Program (74.2% of 2025 unit volume), the company advances money to dealers against anticipated future collections on consumer loans; after the advance is recovered, dealers receive a portion of collections as Dealer Holdback, aligning dealer incentives with collection quality, with a 20% servicing fee charged on all collections. Under the Purchase Program (25.8% of 2025 unit volume), the company purchases consumer loans outright with a one-time payment to the dealer. A wholly-owned subsidiary, VSC Re Company, reinsures vehicle service contracts sold through dealers, generating the 4.1% premium revenue share. The company's proprietary credit scoring system forecasts expected collection rates for each loan at assignment by evaluating credit bureau attributes, application data, vehicle information, and transaction structure, with performance monitored monthly. Competitors include buy-here-pay-here dealerships, banks, credit unions, captive finance affiliates, and independent finance companies.

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Credit cycle exposure is the defining structural risk for Credit Acceptance. The 10-K notes that in periods of economic slowdown or recession, delinquencies, defaults, repossessions, and losses may increase on consumer loans, and declining used-vehicle prices may weaken collateral coverage and increase loss severity. The company's entire revenue base depends on accurately forecasting collection rates on a portfolio where 79.5% of 2025 volume carried FICO scores below 650 or no score; if aggregate forecasts prove inaccurate, both finance charge income recognition and the allowance for credit losses would be materially affected. Tariff-driven increases in used car prices could further suppress dealer origination volumes by reducing consumer demand for automobiles.

See also: Financial Services · Credit Services

From Credit Acceptance Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.5 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.9% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn35.5%
ROE28.1%
Rev Growth12.7%
Beta1.39
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicfive largest states
    10-K Item 1A: 'our five largest states...contained 29.2% of Dealers...significant amounts of Consumer Loan assignments will continue to be generated by Dealers in these five states'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -2.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $520.32Resistance $579.79

Price Targets

$491
$530
$568
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R-2.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CACC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $529.95. BUY gates pass at $556.34, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (3.9% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $529.95 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-18.1% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $568.19 (+2.1%), stop $490.72 (−13.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CACC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $568.19 (+7.3% upside). Target $568.19 (+2.1%), stop $490.72 (−13.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $490.72.

What are the risks of investing in CACC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.9% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5.

Is CACC overvalued or undervalued?

Credit Acceptance Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CACC?

8 analysts cover CACC with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $537.

What does Credit Acceptance Corporation do?Credit Acceptance Corporation provides auto financing programs through a nationwide network of ~60,000 dealers,...

Credit Acceptance Corporation provides auto financing programs through a nationwide network of ~60,000 dealers, enabling vehicle sales to consumers regardless of credit history; 79.5% of 2025 loan volume involved borrowers with FICO below 650 or no score. Finance charges — primarily interest income — accounted for 92.4% of fiscal 2025 revenue across $3.9 billion in consumer loan assignments.

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