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ENVAEnova International, Inc.Hold6.7·$179.92+0.28%
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Enova International, Inc. (ENVA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $179.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%).

Enova International is an online consumer and small business lender operating under CashNetUSA, NetCredit, OnDeck and Headway Capital brands, extending $7.8 billion in credit in 2025 to borrowers in 37 U.S. states (consumer) and 49 states (small business), plus Brazil. Revenue... Read more

$179.92+11.0% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 29 Credit Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Entry $161.60(50-day MA)Stop $152.67Target $179.31(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1Setup A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$202.00+12.3%7 analysts
$179.31our TP
$179.92price
$202.00mean
$210

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $179.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $179.92 has reached target $179.31. No upside to wait for. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.9 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn20.7%
ROE25.1%
Rev Growth25.8%
Beta1.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.61bearish
IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States98%
    10-K Item 1: 'The United States represented 97.5% of our total revenue in 2025 and 98.0% of our total revenue in 2024.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
9.7
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKMomentum 8.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $157.39Resistance $182.97

Price Targets

$153
$162
$179
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-0.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! FINSVC_REGIONAL_CLIFF:HARD_BLOCK

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ENVA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $179.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $179.92 has reached target $179.31. No upside to wait for. Target $179.31 (-0.3%), stop $152.67 (−17.8%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ENVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $179.31 (+11.0% upside). Target $179.31 (-0.3%), stop $152.67 (−17.8%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $152.67.

What are the risks of investing in ENVA?

Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ENVA overvalued or undervalued?

Enova International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ENVA?

13 analysts cover ENVA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $202.

What does Enova International, Inc. do?Enova International is an online consumer and small business lender operating under CashNetUSA, NetCredit, OnDeck and...

Enova International is an online consumer and small business lender operating under CashNetUSA, NetCredit, OnDeck and Headway Capital brands, extending $7.8 billion in credit in 2025 to borrowers in 37 U.S. states (consumer) and 49 states (small business), plus Brazil. Revenue of $3.15 billion in 2025 is 97.5% U.S.-derived, generated through interest and fee income on high-yield installment loans and lines of credit.

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