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SUSuncor Energy Inc.Buy Wait7.1·$77.54
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Suncor Energy has a wide economic moat, a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and a forward P/E of 11.2x with a PEG of 0.38, offering an attractively priced integrated energy position, though momentum is weak and the stock has already exceeded analyst price targets.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Integrated Energy Quality→Stable
  • Dividend Yield Sustainability Risk→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $70.54. Price sits above the model's entry target of $70.54; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away).

Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Oil Sands; Exploration and Production; and Refining and Marketing segments. The Oil Sands segment produces bitumen; and markets, supplies,... Read more

$77.54-17.4% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#1 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield10.18%
IncomeYield2.23%(5y avg 3.72%)Payout31.64%sustainable
Entry $70.54(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $66.06Analyst target $64.07(reached)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst consensus$75.38-2.8%3 analysts
$77.54price
$75.38mean
$69
$79

Wait for pullback to $70.54. Price sits above the model's entry target of $70.54; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.38, quality 7.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: conservative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.4% away)
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.3
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$90.7B
EV/EBITDA5.1
Profit Mgn15.8%
ROE19.3%
Rev Growth45.9%
Beta0.59
Dividend2.23%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.70bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Conservative
RSI
70 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.44Resistance $80.25

Price Targets

A.Upside-17.4%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.5%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $70.54. Price sits above the model's entry target of $70.54; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.38, quality 7.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Analyst target $64.07 reached (−17.4%), stop $66.06 (−17.4%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

What is the SU stock price target?

Analyst target $64.07 reached (−17.4% from $77.54); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $64.07 reached (−17.4%), stop $66.06 (−17.4%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $66.06.

What are the risks of investing in SU?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is SU overvalued or undervalued?

Suncor Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.3 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SU?

29 analysts cover SU with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $75.

What does Suncor Energy Inc. do?Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The...

Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Oil Sands; Exploration and Production; and Refining and Marketing segments. The Oil Sands segment produces bitumen; and markets, supplies, and transports and manages crude oil, power, and byproducts. The Exploration and Production segment is involved in the offshore operations on the east coast of Canada, and onshore assets in Libya and Syria; and marketing and risk management of crude oil. The Refining and Marketing segment refines and supplies crude oil and intermediate feedstock into a range of petroleum and petrochemical products, as well as sells refined petroleum products to retail customers. This segment is also involved in the trading of crude oil and refined products, natural gas, and power. The company was formerly known as Suncor Inc. and changed its name to Suncor Energy Inc. in April 1997. Suncor Energy Inc. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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