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EQNREquinor ASABuy Wait5.5·$37.60+1.79%
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Equinor ASA (EQNR) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Wait for pullback to $36.53. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $37.60. Engine's entry $36.53 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.54× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Equinor ASA operates as an energy company in Norway and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production Norway; Exploration & Production International; Exploration & Production USA; Marketing, Midstream & Processing; and Renewables segments. The company engages in... Read more

$37.60+10.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#11 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield19.66%
IncomeYield4.11%(5y avg 3.75%)Payout66.97%
Entry $36.53(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $34.30Target $40.12(resistance)A.R:R -2.2:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$37.63+0.1%6 analysts
$40.12our TP
$37.60price
$37.63mean
$33
$42

Wait for pullback to $36.53. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $37.60. Engine's entry $36.53 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.54× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=9.1x,ratio=0.54x. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.54× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.7
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$92.0B
EV/EBITDA2.9
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth-5.3%
Beta-0.75
Dividend4.11%
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.45bullish
IV59%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.8
Quality Rank
2.9
Value Rank
4.4
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=9.1x,ratio=0.54xInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.52Resistance $40.94

Price Targets

$34
$37
$40
A.Upside+6.7%
A.R:R-2.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQNR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $36.53. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $37.60. Engine's entry $36.53 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.54× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $40.12 (+6.7%), stop $34.30 (−9.6%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.12 (+10.0% upside). Target $40.12 (+6.7%), stop $34.30 (−9.6%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $34.30.

What are the risks of investing in EQNR?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.54× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is EQNR overvalued or undervalued?

Equinor ASA trades at a P/E of 16.7 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EQNR?

37 analysts cover EQNR with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Equinor ASA do?Equinor ASA operates as an energy company in Norway and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production...

Equinor ASA operates as an energy company in Norway and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production Norway; Exploration & Production International; Exploration & Production USA; Marketing, Midstream & Processing; and Renewables segments. The company engages in the discovery and appraisal of new resources, as well as commercial development and operation of the oil and gas portfolios; oil and gas field development, well deliveries, and sourcing; research, technology development, specialist advisory services, digitalization, IT, improvement, innovation, and ventures and future business; and developing, exploring, investing in, and operating areas within renewable energy, such as offshore wind, green hydrogen, storage solutions, and solar power. It is also involved in the marketing, trading, processing, and transportation of crude oil and condensate, natural gas, NGL and refined products, including refineries, terminals, and processing plant operation; power and emissions trading; development of transportation solutions for natural gas, liquids, and crude oil, including pipelines, shipping, trucking, and rail; and provision of low carbon solutions. The company was formerly known as Statoil ASA and changed its name to Equinor ASA in May 2018. Equinor ASA was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Stavanger, Norway.

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