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SHELShell PLCBuy Wait6.6·$105.19
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Shell has strong earnings momentum (3 beats in 4 quarters, 45% YoY growth) at a modest 10.3x forward P/E, but the $108.18 price is already 12.2% above the $95.00 analyst target and sits near its 52-week high with RSI at 84.

Thesis pillars

  • Modest Valuation Dividend↑Improving
  • Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Strong Earnings Growth→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Shell PLC (SHEL) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $103.64. Price sits above the model's entry target of $103.64; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away).

Shell plc operates as an energy and petrochemical company in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and other parts of the Americas. It operates through the following segments: Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals and Products, and Renewables and Energy... Read more

$105.19-9.7% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#8 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.18%
IncomeYield2.98%(5y avg 3.52%)Payout32.64%sustainable
Entry $103.64(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $99.94Analyst target $95.00(reached)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst consensus$105.56+0.4%15 analysts
$105.19price
$105.56mean
$83
$123

Wait for pullback to $103.64. Price sits above the model's entry target of $103.64; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.0% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$298.7B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn8.8%
ROE14.3%
Rev Growth44.7%
Beta-0.19
Dividend2.98%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$88-16.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $94.34Resistance $108.43

Price Targets

A.Upside-9.7%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.7% upside)
! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SHEL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $103.64. Price sits above the model's entry target of $103.64; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $95.00 reached (−9.7%), stop $99.94 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SHEL stock price target?

Analyst target $95.00 reached (−9.7% from $105.19); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $95.00 reached (−9.7%), stop $99.94 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $99.94.

What are the risks of investing in SHEL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is SHEL overvalued or undervalued?

Shell PLC trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SHEL?

25 analysts cover SHEL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Shell PLC do?Shell plc operates as an energy and petrochemical company in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and...

Shell plc operates as an energy and petrochemical company in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and other parts of the Americas. It operates through the following segments: Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals and Products, and Renewables and Energy Solutions. The company explores for and extracts natural gas to produce liquefied natural gas or convert it into gas-to-liquids (GTL) fuels and other products; explores for and extracts crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids; and operates marketing and transportation of oil, gas, and liquids, supported by the infrastructure required to deliver them to market or to process them within Shell's chemical manufacturing plants and refineries. It is also involved in marketing, which includes mobility, lubricants, and sectors focused on decarbonization; operates a retail network, including electric vehicle charging, convenience retail, and the wholesale commercial fuels business for transport and industry; sells products for road transport and machinery in manufacturing, mining, power generation, agriculture, and construction; and provides low-carbon energy solutions, such as biofuels, to a broad range of commercial customers, including those in the aviation, marine, and agriculture sectors. In addition, the company offers chemicals and products, including chemicals manufacturing plants with their own marketing network, and refineries that turn crude oil and other feedstocks into a range of oil products, which are moved and marketed around the world for domestic, industrial, and transport use; and operates a pipeline business, trading, and optimization of crude oil, oil products, and petrochemicals. The company was formerly known as Royal Dutch Shell plc and changed its name to Shell plc in January 2022. Shell plc was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.

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