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PBR-APetroleo Brasileiro S.A. PetrobBuy Now5.8·$15.45-5.33%
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Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob (PBR-A) Stock Analysis

Buy Now (conditional)Moderate Confidence

Conditional: momentum 5.4/10 (below 6.0 threshold) — below strong-conviction threshold. Size accordingly.

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Buy now at $15.45. A.R:R 5.2:1 at $15.45 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $19.49 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$4 per share to target. Key risk: Weak growth.

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing;... Read more

$15.45+26.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#8 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield74.22%
IncomeYield10.77%(5y avg 25.02%)Payout41.58%sustainable
Entry $15.46(at market)Stop $14.97Target $19.49(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.2:1
Analyst target$22.40+45.0%10 analysts
$19.49our TP
$15.45price
$22.40mean
$25

Buy now at $15.45. A.R:R 5.2:1 at $15.45 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $19.49 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$4 per share to target. Key risk: Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Deep value: 65% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 9/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=energy 2/10). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 65%
Risks
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.2
P/E (Fwd)6.6
Mkt Cap$111.7B
EV/EBITDA2.1
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE25.6%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta-0.16
Dividend10.77%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.80bearish
Max Pain$10-35.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.6
Revenue Growth
2.6
GatesMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Energy 2/10Suitability: Moderate
RSI
20 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.43Resistance $18.53

Price Targets

$15
$15
$19
A.Upside+26.1%
A.R:R5.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %2.9%
Max %5.9%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts18
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$22

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBR-A stock a buy right now?

Buy now at $15.45. A.R:R 5.2:1 at $15.45 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $19.49 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$4 per share to target. Key risk: Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Deep value: 65% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. Target $19.49 (+26.1%), stop $14.97 (−3.2%), A.R:R 5.2:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBR-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.49 (+26.1% upside). Target $19.49 (+26.1%), stop $14.97 (−3.2%), A.R:R 5.2:1. Stop-loss: $14.97.

What are the risks of investing in PBR-A?

Weak growth.

Is PBR-A overvalued or undervalued?

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob trades at a P/E of 5.2 (forward 6.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Strong Buy.

What do analysts say about PBR-A?

18 analysts cover PBR-A with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob do?Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the...

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. Its Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon business; and natural gas processing business, as well as production of biodiesel and its co-products. It also engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. In addition, the company engages in research, development, production, transportation, distribution, and trading of energy. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

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