Petrobras offers extreme deep value at a forward P/E of 4.2x with 26% return on equity and an oversold RSI of 21, while analysts project 32% upside — but three consecutive earnings misses and a put/call ratio of 2.65 signal that the market has significant near-term concerns about earnings quality and geopolitical risk.
Thesis pillars
- Roe Peer Advantage→Stable
- Oversold Rsi Technical Inflection↓Deteriorating
- Extreme Deep Value Forward Pe↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob (PBR) Stock Analysis
Temporary headwind edge
Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Wait for pullback to $21.18. Price sits above the model's entry target of $21.18; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing;... Read more
Wait for pullback to $21.18. Price sits above the model's entry target of $21.18; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-5.4% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: conservative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob
Latest news
- NEWS Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras Stock (PBR) Moved Up by 3.08% on Sep 30: What Investors Need To Know - TradingKey — TradingKey positive
- NEWS Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras Stock (PBR) Moved Up by 3.08% on Sep 30: What Investors Need To Know - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com positive
- NEWS Why the Market Dipped But Petrobras (PBR) Gained Today - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Guardian Partners Inc. Makes New $1.41 Million Investment in Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras $PBR - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR) Stock Forecast & Analyst Ratings - Moomoo — Moomoo neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:35Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $21.18. Price sits above the model's entry target of $21.18; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-5.4% upside). Wait for pullback. Analyst target $20.83 reached (−5.4%), stop $20.11 (−9.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $20.83 reached (−5.4% from $22.03); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $20.83 reached (−5.4%), stop $20.11 (−9.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $20.11.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob trades at a P/E of 5.6 (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
17 analysts cover PBR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $24.
What does Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob do?Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the...
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. Its Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon business; and natural gas processing business, as well as production of biodiesel and its co-products. It also engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. In addition, the company engages in research, development, production, transportation, distribution, and trading of energy. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.