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SOUNSoundHound AI, Inc.Sell5.7·$4.44
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

SoundHound AI is a high-risk, high-upside revenue-growth story with 52% year-over-year revenue growth and analyst consensus implying 91% upside, but consistently cash-burning operations, a confirmed death cross, 38% short interest, and deeply inconsistent earnings delivery make this a speculative position with binary outcomes.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Growth Industry Leader→Stable
  • Earnings Inconsistency Cash Burn→Stable
  • Analyst High Conviction Upside→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SoundHound AI, Inc. (SOUN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.44: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 12.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 42%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

SoundHound AI develops voice AI technology for automotive OEM, IoT, restaurant, and enterprise customer service clients, supporting 25 languages with over 359 granted patents. Revenue flows from royalties (per-unit or usage fees embedded in products), subscriptions (service... Read more

$4.44+146.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#58 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-2.31%
Stop $4.13Analyst target $10.94(−13% haircut)A.R:R 12.2:1
Analyst consensus$12.57+183.1%7 analysts
$10.94Analyst target
$4.44price
$12.57mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.44: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 12.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 42%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About SoundHound AI, Inc.

About SoundHound AI, Inc.

SoundHound AI's voice AI platform addresses automotive OEM, IoT, restaurant, and enterprise customer service verticals in 25 languages, backed by 359 granted patents and over 102 pending. In 2025, the Amelia 7 agentic orchestration platform was integrated, extending the product beyond voice response to full-stack IT support and in-vehicle transaction handling. No single customer exceeded 10% of 2025 revenues, a shift from 2024 when one customer accounted for 14% of total revenues.

SoundHound earns revenue through three streams: royalties (per-unit or usage-duration fees when voice is embedded in a car, TV, or IoT device); subscriptions (monthly fees for services including Smart Ordering restaurant phone answering and Smart Answering customer service); and a transaction-driven monetization layer sharing commerce revenue with product creators. Automotive OEMs represent the largest current customer segment, and the automotive design-win cycle—typically six months to two years between technology selection and production integration—means the company commits engineering resources well before revenue is realized. Contracts generally renew annually and are terminable with six to twelve months' written notice. SoundHound competes against Amazon Alexa and Google Assistant, both offered at low or no additional cost as extensions of those companies' broader platforms, and against legacy enterprise voice vendors. OEM customers exert annual price-reduction pressure common in automotive supply agreements.

Show full overview

The EU Artificial Intelligence Act entered into force on August 1, 2024, and will become fully applicable on August 2, 2026—a near-term compliance milestone for SoundHound's European deployments. High-risk AI classifications under the Act could require product modifications, additional compliance infrastructure, and increased operating costs. In March 2026, SoundHound disclosed via Form 8-K that CFO Nitesh Sharan resigned effective April 3, 2026, to assume a role at a quantum computing company, with co-founder James Hom named Interim CFO—adding leadership transition risk concurrent with the approaching EU regulatory deadline.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From SoundHound AI, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -2.4%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.19% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-44.4
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA-11.5
Profit Mgn-67.5%
ROE-32.2%
Rev Growth45.0%
Beta2.86
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV90%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Nitesh Sharan resigned effective April 3, 2026 to assume a leadership role at a quantum computing company. No disagreement with Company cited. Co-founder James Hom (current Chief Product Officer and board member) appointed Interim CFO effective April 3, 2026; permanent successor not yet named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 6.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
0.5
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Put Call
10.0
Debt Equity
10.0
High short interest justified: 42%High IV: 90%Above max pain $0

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
4.5
Moat
6.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.1
Cash-burning: FCF -22% of revenueQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.7
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings in 7 days
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 12.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
27 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.20Resistance $6.21

Price Targets

$4
$11
A.Upside+146.3%
A.R:R12.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -2.4%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.19% of cap)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SOUN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.44: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 12.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 42%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $4.13. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SOUN stock price target?

Analyst target: $10.94 (+146.3% upside). Prior stop was $4.13. Stop-loss: $4.13.

What are the risks of investing in SOUN?

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -2.4%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.19% of cap).

Is SOUN overvalued or undervalued?

SoundHound AI, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -44.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SOUN?

15 analysts cover SOUN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $13.

What does SoundHound AI, Inc. do?SoundHound AI develops voice AI technology for automotive OEM, IoT, restaurant, and enterprise customer service...

SoundHound AI develops voice AI technology for automotive OEM, IoT, restaurant, and enterprise customer service clients, supporting 25 languages with over 359 granted patents. Revenue flows from royalties (per-unit or usage fees embedded in products), subscriptions (service provider monthly fees), and transaction-based monetization. Automotive OEMs are the largest current customer segment.

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