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ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. (SFBS) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 66% exposure to commercial and consumer real estate loans (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: commercial and consumer real estate loans (65.8%).

ServisFirst Bancshares is a commercial bank holding company headquartered in Birmingham, AL, operating 33 offices across AL, FL, GA, NC, SC, TN, and VA with $17.73B total assets as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes primarily from net interest income on commercial loans and... Read more

$80.05+0.1% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#32 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $76.18Target $80.18(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$94.33+17.8%3 analysts
$80.18our TP
$80.05price
$94.33mean
$97

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 66% exposure to commercial and consumer real estate loans (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: commercial and consumer real estate loans (65.8%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Single-region cliff: 66% exposure to commercial and consumer real estate loans (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: commercial and consumer real estate loans (65.8%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.7
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn54.0%
ROE16.5%
Rev Growth18.5%
Beta0.89
Dividend1.91%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$65-18.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographiccommercial and consumer real estate loans66%
    10-K Item 1A: '65.8% of our loan portfolio was composed of commercial and consumer real estate loans'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.0
Bollinger
2.2
52w Position
7.9
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $72.30Resistance $80.94

Price Targets

$76
$80
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.1% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! FINSVC_REGIONAL_CLIFF:HARD_BLOCK

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SFBS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 66% exposure to commercial and consumer real estate loans (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: commercial and consumer real estate loans (65.8%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $80.18 (+0.2%), stop $76.18 (−5.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SFBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.18 (+0.1% upside). Target $80.18 (+0.2%), stop $76.18 (−5.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $76.18.

What are the risks of investing in SFBS?

Single-region cliff: 66% exposure to commercial and consumer real estate loans (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: commercial and consumer real estate loans (65.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SFBS overvalued or undervalued?

ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SFBS?

9 analysts cover SFBS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $94.

What does ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. do?ServisFirst Bancshares is a commercial bank holding company headquartered in Birmingham, AL, operating 33 offices...

ServisFirst Bancshares is a commercial bank holding company headquartered in Birmingham, AL, operating 33 offices across AL, FL, GA, NC, SC, TN, and VA with $17.73B total assets as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes primarily from net interest income on commercial loans and deposits, using a decentralized lending model with centralized credit administration.

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