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RSKDRiskified Ltd.Sell5.7·$9.04
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Riskified shows a bullish golden-cross breakout, but below-floor business quality, extreme insider selling, and elevated put/call hedging argue for caution over the technical setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Minimum Floor↑Improving
  • Heavy Insider Selling→Stable
  • Golden Cross Technical Setup→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Riskified Ltd. (RSKD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.04 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away).

Riskified Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and offers an e-commerce risk intelligent platform that allows online merchants to create trusted relationships with consumers in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and the Americas. It... Read more

$9.04-26.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#64 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.45%
Stop $8.41Analyst target $6.66(reached)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst consensus$7.65-15.4%5 analysts
$9.04price
$7.65mean
$6

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.04 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.1% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)23.3
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA-53.1
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-5.7%
Rev Growth21.8%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV88%elevated
Max Pain$5-44.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 1.63%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.2>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.60Resistance $9.23

Price Targets

A.Upside-26.4%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-26.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 1.63%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RSKD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.04 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $8.41. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RSKD stock price target?

Analyst target $6.66 reached (−26.4% from $9.04); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $8.41. Stop-loss: $8.41.

What are the risks of investing in RSKD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.1% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).

Is RSKD overvalued or undervalued?

Riskified Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 23.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RSKD?

12 analysts cover RSKD with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Riskified Ltd. do?Riskified Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and offers an e-commerce risk intelligent platform that allows...

Riskified Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and offers an e-commerce risk intelligent platform that allows online merchants to create trusted relationships with consumers in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and the Americas. It offers Chargeback Guarantee that ensures the legitimacy of merchants' online orders; Dispute Resolve, which is used to compile submissions for fraud and non-fraud related chargeback issues; Policy Protect, a machine learning solution designed to detect and prevent refund and returns policy abuse in real-time; Account Secure, a solution that cross-checks every login attempt; and PSD2 optimization that helps total conversion and reduce cart abandonment. It serves direct-to-consumer brands, online-only retailers, omnichannel retailers, online marketplaces, and e-commerce service providers in various industries, such as payments, money transfer, tickets and travel, electronics, home, and fashion and luxury goods. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.

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