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Impinj, Inc. (PI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $144.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Impinj designs and sells a RAIN RFID platform including endpoint ICs (tags), reader ICs, finished readers/gateways, and tag production systems targeting item-to-cloud connectivity in retail, supply chain, healthcare, and other industries. Revenue is concentrated in a small... Read more

$144.00+10.5% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#43 of 45 Semiconductors
Stop $134.78Target $160.13(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$163.88+13.8%8 analysts
$160.13our TP
$144.00price
$163.88mean
$112
$180

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $144.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (34.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC
Target reached (-1.6% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)50.4
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA503.7
Profit Mgn-7.7%
ROE-15.2%
Rev Growth0.0%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV81%elevated
Max Pain$50-65.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerCustomer A34%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Customer A | | | 34 | % | | | 28 | % | | | 33 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerCustomer B15%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Customer B | | | 15 | | | | 15 | | | * |'
  • LOWCustomerCustomer C12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Customer C | | | 12 | | | | 17 | | | | 11 |'
  • HIGHSupplierTSMC
    10-K Item 1A: 'we do not have long-term supply contracts ... TSMC, manufactures our endpoint IC wafers primarily in Taiwan and has been our supplier since 2003'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
52w Position
1.7
Support Resistance
2.8
Gap
3.0
Extreme gap up (29.1%) - may pull back

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Value Rank
4.1
Growth Rank
5.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -7.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
6.0
Gross Margin
6.5
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 15%, FCF yield 1.2%)No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 8.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
89 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $97.50Resistance $163.40

Price Targets

$135
$160
A.Upside+11.2%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $144.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Prior stop was $134.78. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $160.13 (+10.5% upside). Prior stop was $134.78. Stop-loss: $134.78.

What are the risks of investing in PI?

Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (34.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC; Target reached (-1.6% upside).

Is PI overvalued or undervalued?

Impinj, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 50.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PI?

16 analysts cover PI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $164.

What does Impinj, Inc. do?Impinj designs and sells a RAIN RFID platform including endpoint ICs (tags), reader ICs, finished readers/gateways, and...

Impinj designs and sells a RAIN RFID platform including endpoint ICs (tags), reader ICs, finished readers/gateways, and tag production systems targeting item-to-cloud connectivity in retail, supply chain, healthcare, and other industries. Revenue is concentrated in a small number of customers: top 3 customers represented 61% of 2025 revenue. TSMC manufactures all endpoint and reader IC wafers exclusively without long-term supply agreements.

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