Skip to main content
RMBSRambus, Inc.Sell5.5·$145.84-0.49%
Open full analysis

Rambus, Inc. (RMBS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $145.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (66.0%).

Rambus is a global semiconductor company providing DDR5/LPDDR5 memory interface chips, Silicon IP (HBM, GDDR, PCIe, security), and patent licenses to leading chip manufacturers. Revenue is diversified across chip sales, IP licensing, and royalties; ~2,800 customers worldwide... Read more

$145.84+17.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#21 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.58%
Stop $135.64Target $170.62(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$145.25-0.4%8 analysts
$170.62our TP
$145.84price
$145.25mean
$100
$180

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $145.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (66.0%). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (66.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)69.8
P/E (Fwd)40.2
Mkt Cap$15.8B
EV/EBITDA49.9
Profit Mgn31.9%
ROE18.0%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta1.82
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.28bearish
IV113%elevated
Max Pain$65-55.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-5 customers66%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top five customers for each reporting period represented approximately 66% of our consolidated revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Sumeet Gagneja appointed SVP and CFO effective April 29, 2026, succeeding Interim CFO John Allen. Gagneja previously was divisional CFO at AMD Data Center and CFO at Western Digital Flash Business.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOW
    Victor Peng, age 65, appointed to Board of Directors as Class II director effective February 12, 2026; appointed to Compensation and Human Resources Committee. Board size increased to 8 members.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-10Item 5.02HIGH
    CFO Desmond Lynch resigned effective February 27, 2026 to pursue another opportunity. No disagreement with Company. John Allen appointed VP and Interim CFO; permanent search underway.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
1.5
Forward Pe
2.8
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
9.7
Forward P/E: 40.2xPEG: 0.54
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $118.47Resistance $174.10

Price Targets

$136
$171
A.Upside+17.0%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.4% upside)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RMBS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $145.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (66.0%). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $135.64. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RMBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $170.62 (+17.0% upside). Prior stop was $135.64. Stop-loss: $135.64.

What are the risks of investing in RMBS?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (66.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is RMBS overvalued or undervalued?

Rambus, Inc. trades at a P/E of 69.8 (forward 40.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RMBS?

17 analysts cover RMBS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $145.

What does Rambus, Inc. do?Rambus is a global semiconductor company providing DDR5/LPDDR5 memory interface chips, Silicon IP (HBM, GDDR, PCIe,...

Rambus is a global semiconductor company providing DDR5/LPDDR5 memory interface chips, Silicon IP (HBM, GDDR, PCIe, security), and patent licenses to leading chip manufacturers. Revenue is diversified across chip sales, IP licensing, and royalties; ~2,800 customers worldwide with top-5 representing ~66% of consolidated 2025 revenue.

Related stocks: CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · SKYT (SkyWater Technology, Inc.) · NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.)
Home Stocks RMBS

Latest news

Latest News

Asset Securitization Report54d ago
MarketBeat54d ago
Seeking Alpha49d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative53d agoEarnings
MarketBeat53d ago
Insider Monkey50d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance50d agoEarnings
MarketBeat57d ago
MarketBeat52d ago
Xã Thanh Hà58d ago
Yahoo Finance UK49d ago
CNBC49d ago
Quiver Quantitative49d ago
Marketscreener.com49d agoEarnings
Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La56d ago
Investor's Business Daily52d ago
GuruFocus52d ago
Yahoo Finance52d ago
FXEmpire52d ago
Timothysykes.com52d agoProduct
Loading more...