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PBRPetroleo Brasileiro S.A. PetrobBuy Wait5.6·$18.35+2.98%
PBR · Why this verdict

Why Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob (PBR) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E9.8
P/S10.0
EV/EBITDA10.0
Fwd P/E10.0
PEG2.8
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 4.3x
  • PEG: 4.46
  • Attractively valued

Quality

6.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE8.5
ROA5.5
Gross margin5.5
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio3.0
FCF quality5.8
Moat5.6
Piotroski F6.7
  • Excellent ROE: 26%
  • Strong margins: 22%
  • Earnings quality warning: 77% FCF/NI

Growth

1.6/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth2.6
EPS growth0.6

Momentum

5.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI8.5
MACD1.8
OBV10.0
MA position4.0
Volume4.4
  • Oversold in uptrend (RSI 22)
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

7.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment6.2
Analyst rating7.2
Price target8.3
  • Analyst upside: 26%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • Negligible insider buying — $9,317 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.9/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank7.8
quality rank7.6
growth rank2.9
  • Attractive P/E vs peers
  • Superior ROE vs peers

Technical

7.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger7.5
support resistance8.4
52w position6.4

Risk (lower is worse)

5.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
days to cover8.1
volatility6.8
put call0.0
implied vol4.4
debt equity6.0
  • Elevated put/call: 2.38

Catalyst

3.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history0.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg2.8
dividend safety4.8
news activity6.0
  • Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Deep value: 61% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_A_DEEP_VALUE|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:5.7>=5.5
  • ASYMMETRY:1.9>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
1.91
Upside
+9.6%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects clean gate clearance against Value at 7.7 and asymmetric R:R of 1.91.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.7, Technical at 7.4, and Sentiment at 7.2; the weakest are Growth at 1.6, Catalyst at 3.9, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine cleared all gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.91 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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