Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Stock Analysis
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $183.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Oracle provides enterprise IT solutions globally through cloud and license (Oracle Cloud Applications and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure), hardware, and services segments. Revenue spans cloud subscriptions (43% of FY2025 total), perpetual licenses, license support, hardware, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $183.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Oracle Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Oracle Stock (ORCL) Opinions on OpenAI Missing Growth Targets - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- NEWS How Oracle Stock Could Rise To $300 - Forbes — Forbes positive
- NEWS Oracle: The Bounce Is Just The Beginning - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Oracle Earnings Beat Estimates But Stock Falls Late With AI Spending In Focus - Investor's Business Daily — Investor's Business Daily positive
- NEWS ORCL Stock Drops Amid Lower-Than-Expected Q1 Earnings Guidance, Unchanged FY27 Sales Outlook - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSuppliersingle-vendor hardware/cloud components10-K Item 1A: 'there are some technologies and components that can only be purchased from a single vendor due to price, quality, technology, availability or other business constraints'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-06Item 5.02MEDIUMHilary Maxson appointed as Chief Financial Officer of Oracle effective April 6, 2026. Successor named; previously EVP and Group CFO at Schneider Electric SE from 2020 to April 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $183.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $171.24. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $234.95 (+27.6% upside). Prior stop was $171.24. Stop-loss: $171.24.
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Oracle Corporation trades at a P/E of 31.5 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
49 analysts cover ORCL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $255.
What does Oracle Corporation do?Oracle provides enterprise IT solutions globally through cloud and license (Oracle Cloud Applications and Oracle Cloud...
Oracle provides enterprise IT solutions globally through cloud and license (Oracle Cloud Applications and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure), hardware, and services segments. Revenue spans cloud subscriptions (43% of FY2025 total), perpetual licenses, license support, hardware, and professional services to businesses, governments, and institutions worldwide.