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CRWVCoreWeave, Inc.Sell5.3·$102.24+6.79%
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CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $102.24: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality.

CoreWeave provides purpose-built cloud infrastructure for AI workloads, operating 43 data centers with over 850 MW of active power as of December 31, 2025, across the U.S., Europe, and Canada. Revenue grew from $229 million in 2023 to $5.1 billion in 2025 via multi-year... Read more

$102.24+28.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#53 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-15.60%
Stop $93.51Target $128.97(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$140.18+37.1%33 analysts
$128.97our TP
$102.24price
$140.18mean
$36
$303

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $102.24: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About CoreWeave, Inc.

About CoreWeave, Inc.

CoreWeave's cloud platform for AI workloads generated $5.1 billion in revenue for fiscal 2025, up from $1.9 billion in 2024 and $229 million in 2023, while operating 43 data centers with over 850 MW of active power as of December 31, 2025. The company had $60.7 billion in remaining performance obligations at year-end 2025 under take-or-pay contracts with a weighted-average duration of approximately five years. CoreWeave employed 2,189 people at year-end, with 1,967 in the United States.

CoreWeave earns revenue through Infrastructure Services, Managed Software Services, and Application Software Services—including Weights & Biases developer tools acquired in 2025—primarily under multi-year committed take-or-pay contracts. All current GPU infrastructure uses NVIDIA hardware per customer contractual requirements; three suppliers accounted for 23%, 20%, and 17% of total purchases in 2025, and the company maintains no long-term supplier contracts guaranteeing capacity or pricing terms. Infrastructure is financed primarily through asset-level debt backed by take-or-pay customer commitments, supplemented by corporate equity and debt. A substantial portion of revenue is concentrated in a limited number of customers, as the 10-K states directly, meaning decisions by a few large customers could materially affect quarterly results.

Show full overview

CoreWeave's reliance on NVIDIA GPUs is reinforced by customer contracts that contractually specify NVIDIA hardware, making substitution require contract renegotiation. NVIDIA itself relies on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company for semiconductor fabrication, introducing a two-tier dependency. The filing explicitly names geopolitical tensions involving Taiwan and China as a named supply chain risk, and separately the company announced in November 2025 that a third-party data center provider delayed delivery of contracted facilities—demonstrating that both upstream chip supply and downstream infrastructure delivery carry real execution risk.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From CoreWeave, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — CoreWeave, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-124.1
Mkt Cap$54.9B
EV/EBITDA29.0
Profit Mgn-25.6%
ROE-40.7%
Rev Growth111.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV95%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
1.3
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.8
Gross Margin
9.9
Cash-burning: FCF -137% of revenueRule of 40: -26 (fail)Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Value Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
9.9
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $91.02Resistance $132.15

Price Targets

$94
$129
A.Upside+26.1%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRWV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $102.24: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $93.51. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRWV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $128.97 (+28.3% upside). Prior stop was $93.51. Stop-loss: $93.51.

What are the risks of investing in CRWV?

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is CRWV overvalued or undervalued?

CoreWeave, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -124.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRWV?

42 analysts cover CRWV with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $140.

What does CoreWeave, Inc. do?CoreWeave provides purpose-built cloud infrastructure for AI workloads, operating 43 data centers with over 850 MW of...

CoreWeave provides purpose-built cloud infrastructure for AI workloads, operating 43 data centers with over 850 MW of active power as of December 31, 2025, across the U.S., Europe, and Canada. Revenue grew from $229 million in 2023 to $5.1 billion in 2025 via multi-year take-or-pay contracts; the company had $60.7 billion in remaining performance obligations and incurred a $1.2 billion net loss in 2025.

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