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Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $133.26. At $145.98 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $133.26 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5.

Palantir Technologies builds data integration and AI software platforms — Gotham (defense/intelligence), Foundry (enterprise operations), AIP (generative AI), and Apollo (continuous delivery) — for government and commercial customers globally. Revenue is recognized over... Read more

$145.98+14.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#8 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Entry $133.26(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $121.46Target $166.02(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1Setup A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$184.47+26.4%25 analysts
$166.02our TP
$145.98price
$184.47mean
$70
$255

Wait for pullback to $133.26. At $145.98 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $133.26 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(4), semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val3.7Qual8.2Grw10.0Mom4.3Sent8.0Ins3.3Peer5.9Tech4.0Risk4.86.3OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(4) detected in news
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)220.8
P/E (Fwd)74.6
Mkt Cap$333.5B
EV/EBITDA226.3
Profit Mgn36.3%
ROE26.0%
Rev Growth70.0%
Beta1.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts36

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$50-65.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop three customers16%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top three customers together accounted for 16% and 17% of our revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
1.2
Peg Ratio
3.8
Analyst Target
6.0
Forward P/E: 74.6xPEG: 2.84
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $122.68Resistance $156.28

Price Targets

$121
$133
$166
A.Upside+13.7%
A.R:R0.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PLTR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $133.26. At $145.98 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $133.26 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $166.02 (+13.7%), stop $121.46 (−20.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PLTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $166.02 (+14.3% upside). Target $166.02 (+13.7%), stop $121.46 (−20.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $121.46.

What are the risks of investing in PLTR?

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5.

Is PLTR overvalued or undervalued?

Palantir Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of 220.8 (forward 74.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PLTR?

36 analysts cover PLTR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $184.

What does Palantir Technologies Inc. do?Palantir Technologies builds data integration and AI software platforms — Gotham (defense/intelligence), Foundry...

Palantir Technologies builds data integration and AI software platforms — Gotham (defense/intelligence), Foundry (enterprise operations), AIP (generative AI), and Apollo (continuous delivery) — for government and commercial customers globally. Revenue is recognized over multi-year contracts, with total remaining deal value of $11.2 billion as of December 31, 2025.

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