McDonald's Corporation (MCD) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $277.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $277.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: conservative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-08Recent Developments — McDonald's Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Is It Time To Reassess McDonald's (MCD) After The Recent Share Price Pullback? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS McDonald's: Value Strategy Holds, But Not A Q1 Catalyst (NYSE:MCD) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
- NEWS McDonald’s USA president Erlinger sells $93,276 of MCD stock - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- NEWS McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) Insider Joseph Erlinger Sells 333 Shares - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS McDONALD'S ANNOUNCES QUARTERLY CASH DIVIDEND - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-06-08T21:56:34Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-02Item 5.02MEDIUMMcDONALD'S CORPORATION | | | | | (Registrant) | | | | | | | | Date: | April 2, 2026 | | By: | /s/ Jeffrey J. Pochowicz | | | | | Jeffrey J. Pochowicz Vice President - Associat [... truncated]SEC filing →
- 2026-02-10Item 5.02MEDIUM. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $277.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Prior stop was $268.39. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $304.79 (+9.7% upside). Prior stop was $268.39. Stop-loss: $268.39.
Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
McDonald's Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.1 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
40 analysts cover MCD with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $331.
What does McDonald's Corporation do?McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and...
McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.