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Restaurant Brands International (QSR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.76 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K,... Read more

$79.76+0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#13 of 20 Restaurants
Stop $76.67Target $80.04(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$83.29+4.4%28 analysts
$80.04our TP
$79.76price
$83.29mean
$72
$96

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.76 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.4% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.7
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$36.8B
EV/EBITDA15.7
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE24.0%
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta0.53
Dividend3.22%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV48%normal
Max Pain$38-53.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.3
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.11Resistance $81.67

Price Targets

$77
$80
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QSR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.76 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $76.67. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the QSR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.04 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $76.67. Stop-loss: $76.67.

What are the risks of investing in QSR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5.

Is QSR overvalued or undervalued?

Restaurant Brands International trades at a P/E of 30.7 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QSR?

21 analysts cover QSR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $83.

What does Restaurant Brands International do?We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual...

We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, over 95% of system-wide restaurants were franchised restaurants.

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