Skip to main content
QSRRestaurant Brands InternationalSell6.0·$75.42+0.75%
Open full analysis

Restaurant Brands International (QSR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $75.42 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5.

We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K,... Read more

$75.42+2.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 20 Restaurants
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.83%
IncomeYield3.47%(5y avg 3.41%)Payout80.71%at-risk
Stop $72.13Target $77.33(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$85.92+13.9%26 analysts
$77.33our TP
$75.42price
$85.92mean
$100

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $75.42 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.1
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$34.2B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE28.1%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.52
Dividend3.47%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$95+26.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.99Resistance $76.85

Price Targets

$72
$77
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.5% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QSR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $75.42 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $72.13. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QSR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.33 (+2.5% upside). Prior stop was $72.13. Stop-loss: $72.13.

What are the risks of investing in QSR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5.

Is QSR overvalued or undervalued?

Restaurant Brands International trades at a P/E of 24.1 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QSR?

18 analysts cover QSR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $86.

What does Restaurant Brands International do?We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual...

We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, over 95% of system-wide restaurants were franchised restaurants.

Related stocks: YUM (Yum! Brands, Inc.) · YUMC (Yum China Holdings, Inc.) · MCD (McDonald's Corporation) · CAKE (The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor) · EAT (Brinker International, Inc.)
Home Stocks QSR

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat47d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail48d agoAnalyst
MSN48d ago
Quiver Quantitative40d agoEarnings
Benzinga40d ago
Seeking Alpha40d agoEarnings
StockStory41d ago
Quiver Quantitative41d agoEarnings
CNBC41d agoEarnings
GuruFocus48d agoAnalyst
Investing.com41d ago
MarketWatch46d ago
Marketscreener.com46d ago
MarketBeat44d ago
Yahoo Finance44d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat44d ago
Investing.com Nigeria49d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat50d ago
QSR Magazine50d ago
Yahoo Finance42d ago
Loading more...