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QSRRestaurant Brands InternationalSell5.8·$71.50-1.60%
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Restaurant Brands International (QSR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $71.50: Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K,... Read more

$71.50+8.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 20 Restaurants
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.98%
IncomeYield3.58%(5y avg 3.41%)Payout80.71%at-risk
Stop $68.86Target $77.33(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$85.92+20.2%26 analysts
$77.33our TP
$71.50price
$85.92mean
$100

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $71.50: Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.2%
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.4
P/E (Fwd)16.4
Mkt Cap$33.2B
EV/EBITDA14.4
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE28.1%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.52
Dividend3.58%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV39%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.99Resistance $79.92

Price Targets

$69
$77
A.Upside+8.2%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts18
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$86

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QSR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $71.50: Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $68.86. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

What is the QSR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.33 (+8.2% upside). Prior stop was $68.86. Stop-loss: $68.86.

What are the risks of investing in QSR?

Thin upside margin: 8.2%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5.

Is QSR overvalued or undervalued?

Restaurant Brands International trades at a P/E of 23.4 (forward 16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QSR?

18 analysts cover QSR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $86.

What does Restaurant Brands International do?We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual...

We are one of the world's largest quick service restaurant ("QSR") companies with nearly $47 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 33,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories as of December 31, 2025. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, over 95% of system-wide restaurants were franchised restaurants.

Related stocks: YUM (Yum! Brands, Inc.) · YUMC (Yum China Holdings, Inc.) · CAVA (CAVA Group, Inc.) · EAT (Brinker International, Inc.) · MCD (McDonald's Corporation)
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